Match Info

Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Citta di Gorgonzola (Gorgonzola)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254, Sky Sport 258


	Giana Erminio		Ternana

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.85	2.35
	3.05	2.85	2.5
	3.27	2.61	2.66
	3.2	2.71	2.6	Watch
	2.96	2.86	2.55	Watch
	3.05	2.85	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.8)	2.79 ↓ (2.88)	2.53 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Giana Erminio
30.1%

Draw
33.2%

Ternana
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

31.7%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

30%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giana Erminio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Ternana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giana Erminio than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Giana Erminio - Ternana Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Giana Erminio will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Ternana will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ternana (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Mangiapoco S. (G) 27. Alborghetti M. 6. Ferri L. 47. Scaringi M. 23. Caferri L. 10. Lamesta A. 4. Nichetti M. 14. Marotta M. 18. De Maria V. 9. Tirelli M. 19. Stuckler D.	26. Vannucchi G. (G) 15. Casasola T. 19. Capuano M. (C) 2. Fazzi N. 20. Donati F. 17. Aloi S. 8. de Boer K. 4. Vallocchia A. 3. Tito F. 10. Cicerelli E. 71. Cianci P.
Substitutes
17. Avinci G. 15. Ballabio M. 37. Bassanini R. 12. Buzzi G. (G) 11. Capelli A. 13. Colombara M. 30. Ledonne N. 8. Montipo M. 21. Pala A. 77. Piazza A. 7. Pinto D. 1. Pirola C. (G) 26. Previtali N. 99. Renda F.	56. Bellavigna M. 44. Brignola E. 5. Corradini G. 21. Curcio A. 30. Damiani S. 9. Ferrante A. 13. Maestrelli A. 87. Martella B. 7. Millico V. 18. Montenegro L. 1. Vitali T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 1 - 0, Tirelli M. ⚽,
72', Aloi S. ↓, Curcio A. ↑,
73', Curcio A. 🟨,
74', Lamesta A. ↓, Pinto D. ↑,
74', Stuckler D. ↓, Capelli A. ↑,
80', Tirelli M. ↓, Montipo M. ↑,
80', De Maria V. ↓, Previtali N. ↑,
83', Caferri L. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Giana Erminio has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ternana is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ternana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Giana Erminio won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Giana Erminio won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Giana Erminio
Italian Serie C Group A
14.05.25	Monopoli - Giana Erminio	1:3 ✺
11.05.25	Giana Erminio - Monopoli	3:1 ✺
07.05.25	Renate - Giana Erminio	1:2 ✺
04.05.25	Giana Erminio - Virtus Verona	1:0 ✺
25.04.25	Alcione - Giana Erminio	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 WWWWT
- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
27.04.25	Virtus Entella - Ternana	0:0 ✺
23.04.25	Ternana - Pianese	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Milan Futuro - Ternana	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Ternana - Carpi	0:1 ✺
30.03.25	Lucchese - Ternana	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
20.04.19	Giana Erminio - Ternana	0:0
16.12.18	Ternana - Giana Erminio	3:3

Upcoming Matches