Match Info

Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Romeo Menti (Vicenza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, RaiPlay, RAI Sport, RAI Sport+, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
World	FIFA+


	Vicenza Virtus		Ternana

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.9	3.1
	2.2	2.9	3.6
	2.24	2.93	3.83
	2.26	2.82	3.72
	2.27	2.96	3.65
	2.2	2.9	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (1.95)	2.9 ↓ (3.13)	3.58 ↓ (3.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vicenza Virtus
41.8%

Draw
32.1%

Ternana
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

29.5%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

28.7%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vicenza Virtus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vicenza Virtus's form might have worsened.

Ternana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vicenza Virtus than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vicenza Virtus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Vicenza Virtus - Ternana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Confente A. (G) 32. Costa F. 14. Cuomo G. 8. Della L. S. 99. Della Morte M. 6. Leverbe M. 90. Morra C. 10. Ronaldo 73. Sandon T. 44. Talarico R. 29. Zonta L.	26. Vannucchi G. (G) 17. Aloi S. 19. Capuano M. 15. Casasola T. 71. Cianci P. 10. Cicerelli E. 21. Curcio A. 20. Donati F. 87. Martella B. 3. Tito F. 4. Vallocchia A.
Substitutes
13. Beghetto A. 20. Capone C. 4. Carraro M. 26. De Col F. 76. Fantoni N. 12. Gallo E. (G) 21. Garnero M. 23. Laezza G. 1. Massolo S. (G) 7. Rauti N. 5. Rossi F.	56. Bellavigna M. 44. Brignola E. 5. Corradini G. 30. Damiani S. 99. Donnarumma A. 2. Fazzi N. 9. Ferrante A. 13. Maestrelli A. 18. Montenegro L. 70. Romeo F. 14. Valenti M. 1. Vitali T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Aloi S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Della Morte M. 🟨,
61', Curcio A. ↓, Damiani S. ↑,
61', Cianci P. ↓, Ferrante A. ↑,
67', Della L. S. ↓, Rauti N. ↑,
67', Ronaldo ↓, Carraro M. ↑,
74', Aloi S. ↓, Fazzi N. ↑,
78', Casasola T. 🟨,
80', Talarico R. ↓, Rossi F. ↑,
80', Della Morte M. ↓, De Col F. ↑,
89', Zonta L. ↓, Beghetto A. ↑,
90', Cicerelli E. ↓, Romeo F. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Vicenza Virtus could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Vicenza Virtus won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Vicenza Virtus won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Vicenza Virtus - the odds 1.95 are the expected chance of winning is 47.4%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vicenza Virtus
Italian Serie C Group A
21.05.25	Vicenza Virtus - Crotone	1:0 ✺
18.05.25	Crotone - Vicenza Virtus	1:2 ✺
25.04.25	Trento - Vicenza Virtus	3:1 ✺
18.04.25	Vicenza Virtus - Triestina	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Virtus Verona - Vicenza Virtus	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLWL
- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
21.05.25	Ternana - Giana Erminio	2:0 ✺
18.05.25	Giana Erminio - Ternana	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
27.04.25	Virtus Entella - Ternana	0:0 ✺
23.04.25	Ternana - Pianese	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Milan Futuro - Ternana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
06.03.22	Vicenza Virtus - Ternana	3:1
23.10.21	Ternana - Vicenza Virtus	5:0
Italian Serie C Group B
31.03.19	Vicenza Virtus - Ternana	1:1
01.12.18	Ternana - Vicenza Virtus	0:2

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