Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 21

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday


	Terranuova Traiana		Follonica Gavorrano

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.2	3.6
	1.95	3.31	3.58	Watch
	1.97	3.24	3.51
	1.96	3.2	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.02)	3.24 ↑ (3.2)	3.57 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Terranuova Traiana
46.6%

Draw
28%

Follonica Gavorrano
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

28%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

27.9%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Terranuova Traiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Follonica Gavorrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Terranuova Traiana than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Follonica Gavorrano than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Terranuova Traiana - Follonica Gavorrano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Innocenti L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )).

Terranuova Traiana is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Follonica Gavorrano has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Terranuova Traiana will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Terranuova Traiana won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Terranuova Traiana won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Follonica Gavorrano	6	4	2	0	9:3	6	14
10	Terranuova Traiana	6	2	2	2	11:9	2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Terranuova Traiana
Italian Serie D - Group E
18.01.26	Cannara - Terranuova Traiana	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Terranuova Traiana - Scandicci	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Poggibonsi - Terranuova Traiana	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	Orvietana - Terranuova Traiana	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Terranuova Traiana - Tau Altopascio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WTWLW
- Follonica Gavorrano
Italian Serie D - Group E
18.01.26	Follonica Gavorrano - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Follonica Gavorrano - Poggibonsi	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Cannara - Follonica Gavorrano	1:4 ✺
21.12.25	Tau Altopascio - Follonica Gavorrano	6:1 ✺
14.12.25	Follonica Gavorrano - Scandicci	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
24.09.25	Follonica Gavorrano - Terranuova Traiana	0:1
12.01.25	Follonica Gavorrano - Terranuova Traiana	2:2
15.09.24	Terranuova Traiana - Follonica Gavorrano	0:0
19.03.23	Follonica Gavorrano - Terranuova Traiana	3:1

Terranuova Traiana - Follonica Gavorrano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide