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The New Saints vs Djurgården Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, November 28, 2024)

Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 28 November 2024, Thursday

Location: The Croud Meadow (Shrewsbury)

Referee: Farrugia P. (Mlt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 18
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Norway	Viaplay
Philippines	beIN Connect
South-america	ViX Latin America
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	beIN Connect
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 4, TNT Sports 5
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+


	The New Saints		Djurgården

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.8	1.73
	4.33	3.7	1.68
	4.5	3.75	1.75	Watch
	4.84	3.85	1.74
	4.55	3.91	1.7	Watch
	3.6	3.7	1.8
	4.69	4.08	1.73
	4.5	3.75	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.47 ↑ (3.7)	3.82 ↑ (3.05)	1.74 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

The New Saints
21.1%

Draw
24.7%

Djurgården
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

29.2%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

29.9%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The New Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Djurgården has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Djurgården's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for The New Saints than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Djurgården than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Djurgården, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.8%	14.3%	81%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: Djurgården will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.15% – 97.75%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Roberts C. (G) 24. Baker A. 2. Pask J. 16. McGahey H. 22. Davies D. 10. Redmond D. (C) 14. Williams D. 19. Clark B. 7. Daniels J. 9. McManus D. 17. Williams J.	35. Rinne J. (G) 18. Stahl A. 4. Une-Larsson J. 3. Danielson M. (C) 27. Kosugi K. 13. Stensson D. 14. Sabovic B. 23. Wikheim G. 16. Gulliksen T. 20. Nguen T. C. 11. Hummet D.
Substitutes
6. Bodenham J. 20. Bradley S. 8. Brobbel R. 27. Canavan J. 11. Cieslewicz A. 30. Edwards J. (G) 18. Holden R. 12. Hudson B. 4. Olosunde M. 21. Smith L. 28. Wilson A. 31. Woollam B.	22. Aslund P. 19. Bergh V. 40. Croon M. (G) 7. Eriksson M. 15. Fallenius O. 29. Haarala S. 45. Jansson O. (G) 26. Priske A. 9. Radetinac H. 6. Schuller R. 5. Tenho M. 17. Therkildsen P.
Coaches
Harrison C.	Bjorknesjo R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', Stahl A. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Gulliksen T. ⚽, Stahl A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
69', Baker A. ↓, Wilson A. ↑,
70', Clark B. ↓, Holden R. ↑,
70', Stensson D. ↓, Schuller R. ↑,
73', Schuller R. 🟨,
78', Redmond D. 🟨,
85', Une-Larsson J. 🟨,
86', Williams J. ↓, Cieslewicz A. ↑,
86', Williams D. ↓, Smith L. ↑,
90', Redmond D. ↓, Bradley S. ↑,
90+1', McManus D. 🟨,
90+2', Nguen T. C. ↓, Haarala S. ↑,
90+2', Gulliksen T. ↓, Aslund P. ↑,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - The Croud Meadow.

TNS is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Djurgården is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

TNS could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Djurgården have a series of home games.

In this match Djurgården is a favorite.

There will not play in TNS: Astles R. (Injury) Olosunde M. (Injury)

There will not play in Djurgården: Johansson P. (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- The New Saints
Welsh Cymru Premier
23.11.24	The New Saints - Pen-y-Bont	3:2 ✺
20.11.24	Briton Ferry Llansawel - The New Saints	3:1 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
16.11.24	Cardiff Metropolitan - The New Saints	1:3 ✺
Welsh League Cup
13.11.24	The New Saints - Bala Town	3:1 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
10.11.24	The New Saints - Haverfordwest County	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWWW
- Djurgårdens IF
Swedish Allsvenskan
10.11.24	Djurgården - Norrköping	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.11.24	Djurgården - Panathinaikos	2:1 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
03.11.24	Halmstad - Djurgården	1:0 ✺
28.10.24	Djurgården - Västerås SK	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.10.24	Djurgården - Vitoria Guimarães	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLWL

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