Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 24 October 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tele2 Arena (Stockholm) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Nuza G. (Kos)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	03:45	Stan Sport
Denmark	18:45	Disney+
Finland	19:45	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
France	18:45	Canal+ Live 13
Iceland	16:45	Viaplay
Indonesia	23:45	beIN Connect
Laos	23:45	beIN Connect
Malaysia	00:45	beIN Connect
Myanmar	23:15	Canal+ Myanmar
Norway	18:45	Viaplay
Philippines	00:45	beIN Connect
Portugal	17:45	DAZN 1
Russia	19:45	Okko Sport
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones 11, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	18:45	Disney+
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	23:45	beIN Connect
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 14
United Kingdom	17:45	Discovery+ UK
Usa	12:45	Paramount+
International	16:45	Disney+


	Djurgården		Vitoria Guimarães

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.3	2.15
	3.2	3.2	2.1
	3.4	3.3	2.15
	3.58	3.34	2.19
	3.42	3.33	2.12	Watch
	3.53	3.51	2.14
	3.4	3.3	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↑ (2.9)	3.33 ↑ (3.2)	2.14 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Djurgården
27.6%

Draw
28.4%

Vitoria Guimarães
44%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.4%

29.3%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

29.4%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Djurgården has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Vitoria Guimarães has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vitoria Guimarães's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Djurgården than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vitoria Guimarães, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	20%	70%

Djurgården - Vitoria Guimarães Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Djurgården will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Guimarães will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guimarães: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Rinne J. (G) 18. Stahl A. 4. Une-Larsson J. 3. Danielson M. (C) 27. Kosugi K. 14. Sabovic B. 13. Stensson D. 23. Wikheim G. 16. Gulliksen T. 20. Nguen T. C. 11. Hummet D.	14. Varela B. (C) 22. Costa A. 24. Borevkovic T. 4. Ribeiro T. 2. Miguel Maga 17. Mendes J. 6. Manu 8. Handel T. 18. Arcanjo T. 9. Ramirez J. 11. Kaio Cesar
Substitutes
22. Aslund P. 19. Bergh V. 40. Croon M. (G) 7. Eriksson M. 15. Fallenius O. 29. Haarala S. 45. Jansson O. (G) 26. Priske A. 9. Radetinac H. 5. Tenho M. 17. Therkildsen P.	79. Bica 27. Charles Silva (G) 76. Gaspar B. 91. Jose Ribeiro (G) 13. Mendes J. 7. Oliveira N. 15. Rivas Viondi O. 20. Samu 77. Santos N. 10. Tiago Silva 3. Villanueva M. 28. Ze Carlos
Coaches
Bjorknesjo R.	Borges R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Mendes J. 🟨,
37', Borevkovic T. 🟨,
45+2', Danielson M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
58', 0 - 1, Manu ⚽, Mendes J. (A),
62', 1 - 1, Stensson D. ⚽, Stahl A. (A),
64', Hummet D. ↓, Priske A. ↑,
64', Nguen T. C. ↓, Haarala S. ↑,
68', Arcanjo T. ↓, Santos N. ↑,
68', Handel T. ↓, Tiago Silva ↑,
72', Gulliksen T. ↓, Eriksson M. ↑,
72', Wikheim G. ↓, Fallenius O. ↑,
76', Manu 🟨,
79', 1 - 2, Santos N. ⚽, Kaio Cesar (A),
81', Ramirez J. 🟨,
81', Ramirez J. ↓, Oliveira N. ↑,
81', Mendes J. ↓, Samu ↑,
88', Kaio Cesar ↓, Ze Carlos ↑,
90+2', Sabovic B. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Guimarães could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Djurgården have a series of guest games.

Guimarães will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Djurgården: Johansson P. (Knee Injury) Nilsson M. (Injury)

There will not play in Guimarães: Fernandes J. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Djurgårdens IF
Swedish Allsvenskan
21.10.24	Hammarby - Djurgården	2:0 ✺
Svenska Cupen
10.10.24	Järfälla - Djurgården	1:6 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
06.10.24	Djurgården - Kalmar	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.10.24	LASK Linz - Djurgården	2:2 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
29.09.24	Värnamo - Djurgården	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWTTT
- Vitoria Guimarães
Taça de Portugal
19.10.24	Paços de Ferreira - Vitoria Guimarães	1:3 ✺
Liga Portugal
06.10.24	Vitoria Guimarães - Boavista	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
02.10.24	Vitoria Guimarães - Celje	3:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
28.09.24	Casa Pia - Vitoria Guimarães	1:1 ✺
21.09.24	Vitoria Guimarães - Porto	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WTWTL

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