The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
The New Saints 72.9%
Draw 17.4%
Pen-y-Bont 9.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
66.7%
20.9%
12.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70%
19.9%
11.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The New Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in The New Saints's performance.
Pen-y-Bont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for The New Saints than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pen-y-Bont than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
16.7%
0%
The New Saints - Pen y Bont Predictions
Users Predictions:
The New Saints will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Shepperd N. (G) 6. Bodenham J. 8. Brobbel R. 4. Corness D. 15. Farrell E. 18. Holden R. 37. Jefferies I. 16. McGahey H. 10. Redmond D. (C) 14. Williams D. 17. Williams J.
1. Armstrong L. (G) 21. Baker A. 15. Clay J. 6. Davies M. 29. Green C. 3. Owen K. (C) 14. Phillips I. 8. Pritchard O. 4. Williams N. 5. Woodiwiss J. 7. Wood N.
Substitutes
7. Barton D. 19. Clark B. 3. Marshall J. 38. Owen B. (G) 32. Summers B. 77. Wilson A. 28. Wilson B.
16. Borge B. 10. Cann E. 11. Daley N. 24. Matthews A. (G) 9. Venables C.
Coaches
Harrison C.
Griffiths R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
10', Baker A. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Williams J. ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, Holden R. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Phillips I. ↓, Cann E. ↑,
46', Clay J. ↓, Borge B. ↑,
47', 3 - 0, Brobbel R. ⚽,
52', 4 - 0, Holden R. ⚽,
52', Jefferies I. ↓, Wilson A. ↑,
56', Baker A. ↓, Venables C. ↑,
56', Owen K. ↓, Daley N. ↑,
64', Brobbel R. ↓, Wilson B. ↑,
64', Corness D. ↓, Clark B. ↑,
64', Redmond D. ↓, Barton D. ↑,
76', Williams J. ↓, Marshall J. ↑,
79', 5 - 0, Holden R. ⚽,
88', 6 - 0, Wilson B. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TNS won 4.
TNS is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Pen-y-Bont has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Pen-y-Bont has had a series of home games.
In this match, TNS is the undeniable favorite.
We predict that TNS will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, TNS won 14 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 48:20. (average 2.4:1).
Including home matches between the teams, TNS won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 25:10. (average 2.8:1.1).
United Kingdom
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Shepperd N. (G) 
Brobbel R. 
Corness D. 
Farrell E. 
Wilson A. 
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