Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 29 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Park Hall (Oswestry)

Referee: Sundberg J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Solidsport TV


	The New Saints		Panevėžys

	1	X	2
	1.57	4	4.75	Watch
	1.57	3.9	5
	1.6	4.3	4.75	Watch
	1.59	4.22	5.23
	1.56	4.36	5.12	Watch
	1.58	4.39	5.72	Watch
	1.6	4.3	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.37)	4.21 ↓ (4.94)	5.05 ↓ (7.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

The New Saints
59.2%

Draw
22.2%

Panevėžys
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.4%

18.9%

12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.2%

18.2%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The New Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that The New Saints's form might have worsened.

Panevėžys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Panevėžys's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for The New Saints than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for The New Saints, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panevėžys than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Panevėžys, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	18.7%	0%

The New Saints - Panevėžys Predictions

Users Predictions: The New Saints will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Roberts C. (G) 7. Daniels J. 22. Davies D. 6. Bodenham J. 3. Marshall J. 21. Smith L. 10. Redmond D. (C) 14. Williams D. 18. Holden R. 28. Wilson A. 11. Cieslewicz A.	22. Timbur E. (G) 29. Beneta M. 4. Dubra K. 2. Klimavicius L. (C) 72. Mazan R. 20. Cadjenovic J. 21. Dieng Ch. 25. Vaicekauskas D. 9. Benchaib A. 7. Veliulis E. 28. Gussias S.
Substitutes
24. Baker A. 20. Bradley S. 8. Brobbel R. 27. Canavan J. 19. Clark B. 30. Edwards J. (G) 12. Hudson B. 39. Jones T. 9. McManus D. 4. Olosunde M. 2. Pask J. 31. Woollam B.	88. Bosancic N. 13. Bukel D. (G) 1. Cerniauskas V. (G) 5. Gorobsov N. 97. Karvatskyi A. 32. Rasimavicius R. 23. Sarpong J.
Coaches
Harrison C.	Vreven S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Cadjenovic J. 🟨,
19', Marshall J. ↓, Pask J. ↑,
33', Rasimavicius R. 🟨,
40', Holden R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Rasimavicius R. 🟨,
70', Veliulis E. ↓, Sarpong J. ↑,
76', Wilson A. ↓, Clark B. ↑,
78', Gussias S. ↓, Karvatskyi A. ↑,
89', Dieng Ch. ↓, Bosancic N. ↑,
89', Cieslewicz A. ↓, Bradley S. ↑,
89', Williams D. ↓, Hudson B. ↑,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 3-0.

TNS is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Panevėžys is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Panevėžys could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match TNS is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches TNS won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- The New Saints
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.08.24	Panevėžys - The New Saints	0:3 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
16.08.24	Flint Town United - The New Saints	1:4 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.08.24	The New Saints - Petrocub-Hîncești	0:0 ✺
06.08.24	Petrocub-Hîncești - The New Saints	1:0 ✺
Welsh League Cup
02.08.24	The New Saints - Flint Town United	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWTLW
- FK Panevėžys
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
25.08.24	Dainava Alytus - Panevėžys	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.08.24	Panevėžys - The New Saints	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.08.24	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Panevėžys	3:0 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
11.08.24	Panevėžys - Žalgiris	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.08.24	Panevėžys - Maccabi Tel Aviv	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
22.08.24	Panevėžys - The New Saints	0:3

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