Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 22 August 2024, Thursday

Location: LFF stadionas (Vilnius)

Referee: Hamiti E. (Alb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Lithuania	Delfi TV
United-kingdom	S4C Clic


	Panevėžys		The New Saints

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.4	2.63	Watch
	2.4	3.2	2.7
	2.45	3.3	2.8	Watch
	2.52	3.25	2.7
	2.47	3.42	2.71	Watch
	2.4	3.3	2.6
	2.56	3.45	2.82	Watch
	2.45	3.3	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.08)	3.33 ↓ (3.45)	2.72 ↓ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Panevėžys
37.9%

Draw
27.9%

The New Saints
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

26.9%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

26.7%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Panevėžys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Panevėžys's form might have worsened.

The New Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting The New Saints's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panevėžys than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Panevėžys, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for The New Saints than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for The New Saints, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.2%	29.4%	29.4%

Panevėžys - The New Saints Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Panevėžys will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). TNS will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Panevėžys: 13.8% – 61.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cerniauskas V. (G) 32. Rasimavicius R. 4. Dubra K. 2. Klimavicius L. (C) 72. Mazan R. 5. Gorobsov N. 9. Benchaib A. 7. Veliulis E. 31. Palacios-Martinez F. 21. Dieng Ch. 28. Gussias S.	25. Roberts C. (G) 7. Daniels J. 22. Davies D. 6. Bodenham J. 3. Marshall J. 21. Smith L. 14. Williams D. 10. Redmond D. (C) 11. Cieslewicz A. 23. Young B. 18. Holden R.
Substitutes
29. Beneta M. 13. Bukel D. (G) 15. Cacutalua M. 20. Cadjenovic J. 97. Karvatskyi A. 36. Mbo N. 23. Sarpong J. 22. Timbur E. (G) 25. Vaicekauskas D.	24. Baker A. 20. Bradley S. 8. Brobbel R. 27. Canavan J. 19. Clark B. 30. Edwards J. (G) 12. Hudson B. 39. Jones T. 4. Olosunde M. 2. Pask J. 28. Wilson A. 31. Woollam B.
Coaches
Vreven S.	Harrison C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Dubra K. 🟨,
42', Daniels J. 🟨,
44', Benchaib A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
52', 0 - 1, Davies D. ⚽,
55', Klimavicius L. 🟨,
57', Davies D. 🟨,
57', Gorobsov N. 🟨,
57', Roberts C. 🟨,
64', 0 - 2, Williams D. ⚽,
65', Veliulis E. ↓, Sarpong J. ↑,
65', Gorobsov N. ↓, Cadjenovic J. ↑,
65', Gussias S. ↓, Mbo N. ↑,
74', Marshall J. 🟨,
77', Rasimavicius R. ↓, Beneta M. ↑,
79', Cieslewicz A. ↓, Wilson A. ↑,
79', Marshall J. ↓, Pask J. ↑,
79', Holden R. ↓, Clark B. ↑,
81', Palacios-Martinez F. ↓, Vaicekauskas D. ↑,
87', Young B. ↓, Bradley S. ↑,
88', Sarpong J. 🟨,
90+1', 0 - 3, Clark B. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - LFF stadionas.

Panevėžys is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches TNS is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Panevėžys
UEFA Europa League
15.08.24	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Panevėžys	3:0 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
11.08.24	Panevėžys - Žalgiris	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.08.24	Panevėžys - Maccabi Tel Aviv	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
31.07.24	Jagiellonia Białystok - Panevėžys	3:1 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
27.07.24	Džiugas Telšiai - Panevėžys	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTLLT
- The New Saints
Welsh Cymru Premier
16.08.24	Flint Town United - The New Saints	1:4 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.08.24	The New Saints - Petrocub-Hîncești	0:0 ✺
06.08.24	Petrocub-Hîncești - The New Saints	1:0 ✺
Welsh League Cup
02.08.24	The New Saints - Flint Town United	5:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
30.07.24	The New Saints - Ferencvárosi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WTLWL

Upcoming Matches