The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
The Town 51.5%
Draw 25%
Austin II 23.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.3%
22.8%
21.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.5%
19.2%
25.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
Austin II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for The Town than the current prediction. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin II than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
The Town - Austin II Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Montali F. (G) 88. Baptista D. 66. Cano A. 27. Eisner W. 74. Mbumba A. 50. Rajagopal R. 29. Spivey K. 20. Fernandez N. 71. Lynch R. 55. Adimabua N. 52. Donnery J.
12. Farrar C. (G) 34. Ciesla D. 41. Bery J. 4. Gomez A. 3. Bonachera R. 14. Barro D. 8. Torres E. 6. Gonzalez A. 32. Burton M. 10. Alastuey J. 26. Farkarlun B.
Substitutes
44. Cowell C. 60. Kikuchi Y. 98. Ling A. 15. Medina C. 38. Mendoza E. 80. Rodriguez M. 97. Ulrich L. (G) 99. Walwyn-Bent K.
77. Abarca D. 1. Alstrup M. (G) 7. Arici B. 31. Avila C. 27. Badawiya M. 17. Danciutiu V. 9. Grogan P. 35. Moreno C. 21. Ruszel M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
25', Bery J. 🟨,
31', Burton M. 🟨,
34', Rajagopal R. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Farkarlun B. ⚽, Alastuey J. (A), Ciesla D. (A2)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Adimabua N. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
46', Spivey K. ↓, Kikuchi Y. ↑,
46', Eisner W. ↓, Walwyn-Bent K. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Fernandez N. ⚽,
52', Burton M. ↓, Abarca D. ↑,
53', Farkarlun B. ↓, Avila C. ↑,
62', Lynch R. ↓, Cowell C. ↑,
66', Gonzalez A. ↓, Grogan P. ↑,
78', Montali F. ↓, Ulrich L. ↑,
80', 1 - 2, Alastuey J. ⚽, Barro D. (A),
85', Alastuey J. ↓, Ruszel M. ↑,
Preview
The Town is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
The Town has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Austin II is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Austin II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, The Town is a strong favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, The Town won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
Including home match between the teams, The Town won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.