The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ventura County 30.4%
Draw 24.1%
The Town 45.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.5%
24%
45.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.7%
22.6%
48.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ventura County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
The Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ventura County than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for The Town than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Ventura County - The Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Scott B. (G) 88. Vanney M. 64. Pepe 68. Middleby M. 50. Dalgado R. 66. Tsakiris M. 65. Musto T. 49. Vanney D. 55. Bucknor J. 61. Karani S. 83. Sullivan N.
31. Montali F. (G) 27. Eisner W. 66. Cano A. 18. Roberts R. 72. Ibarra R. 38. Mendoza E. 20. Fernandez N. 15. Medina C. 44. Cowell C. 55. Adimabua N. 80. Rodriguez M.
Substitutes
87. Arnold G. 57. Coreas C. 97. Garcia V. 73. Martinez E. 94. McLean M. 95. Preston E. 81. Rhodes J. (G) 60. Saribekyan L.
88. Baptista D. 52. Donnery J. 71. Lynch R. 74. Mbumba A. 50. Rajagopal R. 29. Spivey K. 97. Ulrich L. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
5', Roberts R. 🟨,
17', 0 - 1, Adimabua N. ⚽, Rodriguez M. (A), Fernandez N. (A2)
42', Sullivan N. 🟨,
45', 0 - 2, Adimabua N. ⚽, Rodriguez M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', Middleby M. 🟨,
54', 0 - 3, Fernandez N. ⚽, Medina C. (A),
56', Bucknor J. 🟨,
60', Mendoza E. 🟨,
62', Roberts R. ↓, Baptista D. ↑,
62', Cowell C. ↓, Spivey K. ↑,
64', 0 - 4, Medina C. ⚽,
68', Bucknor J. ↓, Coreas C. ↑,
68', Karani S. ↓, Saribekyan L. ↑,
68', Sullivan N. ↓, Preston E. ↑,
73', Fernandez N. ↓, Lynch R. ↑,
73', Adimabua N. ↓, Donnery J. ↑,
75', Middleby M. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
75', Tsakiris M. ↓, Arnold G. ↑,
82', Lynch R. 🟨,
84', Medina C. ↓, Rajagopal R. ↑,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
The Town is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Ventura County is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
The Town has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
The Town may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Ventura County has had a series of away games.
The Town might have a minor edge in this game.
We predict that The Town will win today's game, with odds of 2.08.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ventura County won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 1.5:3.3).
Including home match between the teams, Ventura County won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.
Last Results with these Odds
The Town - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 45.43%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
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Scott B. (G) 
Middleby M. 
Cano A. 
Adimabua N. 
Saribekyan L. 
Donnery J. 
Mbumba A. 
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