Match Info

Date: 16 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Shoda Shoyu Stadium Gunma (Maebashi)

Referee: Inoue T. (Jpn)


	Thespakusatsu Gunma		Grulla Morioka

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	3.1	Watch
	2.3	3	2.85
	2.35	3.3	2.9
	2.34	3.15	2.9
	2.44	3.28	3.15
	2.3	3	2.9
	2.34	3.24	3.08	Watch
	2.36	3.15	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (1.85)	3.17 ↓ (3.22)	2.98 ↓ (4.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thespakusatsu Gunma
39.4%

Draw
29.4%

Grulla Morioka
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

28.5%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

27.2%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thespakusatsu Gunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Thespakusatsu Gunma's form might have worsened.

Grulla Morioka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Grulla Morioka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thespakusatsu Gunma than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Thespakusatsu Gunma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grulla Morioka than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grulla Morioka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	14.3%	42.9%

Thespakusatsu Gunma - Grulla Morioka Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Thespakusatsu will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Grulla Morioka will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Thespakusatsu is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Grulla Morioka has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Thespakusatsu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Thespakusatsu will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Thespakusatsu won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thespakusatsu Gunma
Japan J2 League
08.10.22	Roasso Kumamoto - Thespakusatsu Gunma	5:1 ✺
01.10.22	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Omiya Ardija	1:0 ✺
24.09.22	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:6 ✺
18.09.22	Blaublitz Akita - Thespakusatsu Gunma	0:1 ✺
14.09.22	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Ryūkyū	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLWT
- Grulla Morioka
Japan J2 League
08.10.22	Grulla Morioka - Tokyo Verdy	0:2 ✺
02.10.22	Renofa Yamaguchi - Grulla Morioka	2:2 ✺
25.09.22	Grulla Morioka - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:3 ✺
20.09.22	Roasso Kumamoto - Grulla Morioka	1:0 ✺
14.09.22	Grulla Morioka - JEF United Chiba	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
09.04.22	Grulla Morioka - Thespakusatsu Gunma	0:1

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