Match Info

Date: 8 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Kitakami Stadium (Kitakami)

Referee: Sato T. (Jpn)


	Grulla Morioka		Tokyo Verdy

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.3	2.2	Watch
	3	3.2	2.1
	3.05	3.45	2.2
	3.15	3.3	2.14
	3.4	3.51	2.2
	3.1	3.2	2.1
	3.2	3.55	2.14	Watch
	3.2	3.3	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (2.6)	3.35 ↑ (3.04)	2.15 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grulla Morioka
29.1%

Draw
27.7%

Tokyo Verdy
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

29.8%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

31.7%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grulla Morioka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grulla Morioka's form might have worsened.

Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tokyo Verdy's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grulla Morioka than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grulla Morioka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tokyo Verdy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	6.7%	66.7%

Grulla Morioka - Tokyo Verdy Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Grulla Morioka will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tokyo Verdy: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Grulla Morioka is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tokyo Verdy is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tokyo Verdy will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Grulla Morioka won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grulla Morioka
Japan J2 League
02.10.22	Renofa Yamaguchi - Grulla Morioka	2:2 ✺
25.09.22	Grulla Morioka - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:3 ✺
20.09.22	Roasso Kumamoto - Grulla Morioka	1:0 ✺
14.09.22	Grulla Morioka - JEF United Chiba	1:2 ✺
10.09.22	Grulla Morioka - Mito HollyHock	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TLLLW
- Tokyo Verdy
Japan J2 League
02.10.22	Vegalta Sendai - Tokyo Verdy	0:2 ✺
24.09.22	Tokyo Verdy - Montedio Yamagata	1:0 ✺
21.09.22	Mito HollyHock - Tokyo Verdy	1:2 ✺
18.09.22	Machida Zelvia - Tokyo Verdy	2:2 ✺
14.09.22	Tokyo Verdy - Blaublitz Akita	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
12.06.22	Tokyo Verdy - Grulla Morioka	2:2

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