The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Thespakusatsu Gunma 33.5%
Draw 28.8%
Omiya Ardija 37.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.6%
27.4%
24%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.7%
24.1%
27.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Thespakusatsu Gunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Thespakusatsu Gunma's form might have worsened.
Omiya Ardija has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Omiya Ardija's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thespakusatsu Gunma than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Thespakusatsu Gunma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Omiya Ardija than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Omiya Ardija, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
46.2%
23.1%
30.8%
Thespakusatsu Gunma - Omiya Ardija Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Thespakusatsu will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Omiya will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Thespakusatsu: 19.1% โ 73.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Kushibiki M. (G) 5. Kawakami C. 24. Sakai S. 2. Shirowa H. (C) 36. Nakashio D. 10. Sato R. 22. Takahashi Y. 15. Kazama K. 17. Yamanaka A. 7. Kawamoto R. 28. Nagakura M.
1. Kasahara T. (G) 34. Omori R. 5. Urakami N. 17. Shinzato R. 3. Okaniwa S. 32. Takayanagi F. 8. Kurimoto H. 46. Nuki M. 9. Nakano S. 48. Shibayama M. 19. Rodrigo
Substitutes
38. Amagasa T. 23. Hiramatsu S. 42. Ishii R. (G) 9. Kitagawa S. 14. Shiraishi T. 29. Tagashira R. 6. Uchida T.
39. Izumisawa J. 7. Kojima M. 35. Minami Y. (G) 14. Miyuki H. 37. Sekiguchi K. 28. Tomiyama T. 23. Yajima K.
Coaches
Otsuki T.
Harasaki M.
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Thespakusatsu won 2.
Recent matches Thespakusatsu is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Omiya is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Omiya could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Thespakusatsu won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9-16.
Including matches at home between the teams Thespakusatsu won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.