Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 14

Date: 6 May 2024, Monday

Location: Shoda Shoyu Stadium Gunma (Maebashi)

Referee: Sato T. (Jpn)


	Thespakusatsu Gunma		Shimizu S-Pulse

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.2	1.45	Watch
	5.75	4.2	1.43
	6.5	4.2	1.45	Watch
	6.8	4.58	1.47
	6.5	4.33	1.36
	6.52	4.33	1.44	Watch
	6.6	4.4	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.45 ↓ (6.58)	4.32 ↓ (4.43)	1.43 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thespakusatsu Gunma
14.3%

Draw
21.3%

Shimizu S-Pulse
64.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.2%

21.1%

64.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.7%

20.3%

67.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thespakusatsu Gunma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thespakusatsu Gunma than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Thespakusatsu Gunma - Shimizu S Pulse Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Thespakusatsu will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Shimizu will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Kushibiki M. (G) 24. Sakai S. 2. Shirowa H. 50. Kikuchi K. 3. Ohata R. 22. Takahashi Y. 35. Tamashiro T. 5. Kawakami C. 10. Sato R. 9. Kitagawa S. 23. Hiramatsu S.	57. Gonda S. (G) 70. Hara T. 3. Takahashi Y. 66. Sumiyoshi J. 5. Kitazume K. 13. Miyamoto K. 21. Yajima S. 28. Yoshida Y. 11. Lucas Braga 16. Nishizawa K. 99. Tanque D.
Substitutes
41. Einaga T. 13. Issei K. (G) 36. Nakashio D. 40. Sagawa K. 8. Takazawa Y. 7. Wada M. 17. Yamanaka A.	10. Carlinhos 23. Kitagawa K. 19. Matsuzaki K. 71. Nakamura R. 25. Naruoka H. 1. Oki Y. (G) 14. Yamahara R.
Coaches
Otsuki T.	Akiba T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Kitagawa S. ↓, Wada M. ↑,
11', 0 - 1, Nishizawa K. ⚽, Tanque D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', Hiramatsu S. 🟨,
55', Kawakami C. ↓, Yamanaka A. ↑,
55', Hiramatsu S. ↓, Sagawa K. ↑,
57', 0 - 2, Tanque D. ⚽, Miyamoto K. (A),
62', Lucas Braga ↓, Matsuzaki K. ↑,
62', Nishizawa K. ↓, Carlinhos ↑,
70', Tanque D. ↓, Kitagawa K. ↑,
82', Sato R. ↓, Einaga T. ↑,
82', Takahashi Y. ↓, Takazawa Y. ↑,
88', Miyamoto K. ↓, Naruoka H. ↑,
88', Yajima S. ↓, Nakamura R. ↑,
90', 0 - 3, Kitagawa K. ⚽, Kitazume K. (A),

Preview

Thespakusatsu has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Shimizu is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Shimizu is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Shimizu to win the game is with odds 1.44.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Thespakusatsu won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Thespakusatsu won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thespakusatsu Gunma
Japan J2 League
03.05.24	Fujieda MYFC - Thespakusatsu Gunma	2:1 ✺
27.04.24	Thespakusatsu Gunma - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:2 ✺
Japan J League Cup
24.04.24	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Kashiwa Reysol	1:3 ✺
Japan J2 League
20.04.24	Ventforet Kofu - Thespakusatsu Gunma	4:1 ✺
14.04.24	Renofa Yamaguchi - Thespakusatsu Gunma	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Shimizu S-Pulse
Japan J2 League
03.05.24	Shimizu S-Pulse - Tochigi	4:1 ✺
28.04.24	Fagiano Okayama - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
24.04.24	Kataller Toyama - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:0 penalties ✺
Japan J2 League
20.04.24	Shimizu S-Pulse - Vegalta Sendai	3:2 ✺
13.04.24	Iwaki - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
25.06.23	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:1
29.03.23	Shimizu S-Pulse - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:3
29.10.16	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:4
28.05.16	Shimizu S-Pulse - Thespakusatsu Gunma	8:0

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