Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 13

Date: 3 May 2024, Friday

Location: IAI Stadium Nihondaira (Shizuoka)

Referee: Nobori K. (Jpn)


	Shimizu S-Pulse		Tochigi

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.75	8.5	Watch
	1.34	4.4	7
	1.36	4.75	7.5	Watch
	1.41	4.7	7.89
	1.38	4.87	8.91
	1.3	4.6	8
	1.34	4.7	8.35	Watch
	1.37	4.5	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.41)	4.66 ↑ (4.42)	7.99 ↑ (7.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shimizu S-Pulse
68.4%

Draw
20%

Tochigi
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

21.1%

12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

19.9%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Tochigi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Shimizu S Pulse - Tochigi Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Shimizu will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Tochigi will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
57. Gonda S. (G) 70. Hara T. 3. Takahashi Y. 66. Sumiyoshi J. 14. Yamahara R. 11. Lucas Braga 13. Miyamoto K. 71. Nakamura R. 21. Yajima S. 23. Kitagawa K. 10. Carlinhos	27. Tanno K. (G) 17. Fujitani T. 33. Rafael Costa 5. Otani N. 7. Ishida R. 24. Kanbe K. 6. Omori S. 19. Oshima K. 42. Minamino H. 15. Okuda K. 32. Miyazaki K.
Substitutes
5. Kitazume K. 19. Matsuzaki K. 44. Motoki N. 16. Nishizawa K. 1. Oki Y. (G) 99. Tanque D. 28. Yoshida Y.	22. Aoshima T. 2. Hiramatsu W. 9. Ismaila O. 1. Kawata S. (G) 38. Kobori S. 10. Mori T. 29. Yano K.
Coaches
Akiba T.	Tanaka M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Yajima S. ⚽, Sumiyoshi J. (A),
8', 2 - 0, Lucas Braga ⚽, Hara T. (A),
24', 2 - 1, Minamino H. ⚽,
42', Rafael Costa 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', Omori S. 🟨,
59', Oshima K. ↓, Ismaila O. ↑,
59', Miyazaki K. ↓, Yano K. ↑,
69', Kitagawa K. ↓, Tanque D. ↑,
70', Yajima S. ↓, Matsuzaki K. ↑,
70', Minamino H. ↓, Aoshima T. ↑,
70', Omori S. ↓, Mori T. ↑,
77', Lucas Braga ↓, Yoshida Y. ↑,
79', 3 - 1, Yamahara R. ⚽,
80', Kanbe K. ↓, Kobori S. ↑,
87', 4 - 1, Matsuzaki K. ⚽,
89', Ishida R. 🟨,
90', Miyamoto K. ↓, Nishizawa K. ↑,
90', Carlinhos ↓, Motoki N. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League and 16).

Shimizu is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tochigi is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Shimizu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Shimizu have a series of guest games.

In this match Shimizu is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Shimizu to win the game is with odds 1.35.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Shimizu won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Shimizu won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shimizu S-Pulse
Japan J2 League
28.04.24	Fagiano Okayama - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
24.04.24	Kataller Toyama - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:0 penalties ✺
Japan J2 League
20.04.24	Shimizu S-Pulse - Vegalta Sendai	3:2 ✺
13.04.24	Iwaki - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:3 ✺
07.04.24	Ventforet Kofu - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWWW
- Tochigi SC
Japan J2 League
28.04.24	Tochigi - Iwaki	0:1 ✺
21.04.24	Kagoshima United - Tochigi	2:1 ✺
13.04.24	Mito HollyHock - Tochigi	2:2 ✺
07.04.24	Tochigi - Renofa Yamaguchi	0:0 ✺
03.04.24	JEF United Chiba - Tochigi	8:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
22.07.23	Tochigi - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:1
29.04.23	Shimizu S-Pulse - Tochigi	2:0

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