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Current Win Probability
Fagiano Okayama 38.3%
Draw 30.8%
Shimizu S-Pulse 30.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.3%
31.2%
30.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.8%
31.6%
30.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Fagiano Okayama have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
The ML Model estimate for Shimizu S-Pulse aligns with the current prediction.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
75%
0%
Fagiano Okayama - Shimizu S Pulse Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Okayama will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
52. Hamada T. (G) 6. Omori H. 48. Tatsuta Y. 43. Suzuki Y. 51. Shirai K. 41. Miyamoto E. 5. Ogura K. 88. Yamane T. 27. Kimura T. 8. Esaka A. (C) 98. Werik Popo
1. Oki Y. (G) 5. Kitazume K. 51. Sumiyoshi J. 15. Honda Y. 25. Brunetti M. 6. Uno Z. (C) 10. Matheus Bueno 47. Shimamoto Y. 38. Takahashi T. 9. Oh Se-Hun 21. Matsuzaki K.
Substitutes
4. Abe K. 45. Browne N. 40. Kawano K. 9. Leo Gaucho 99. Lucao 28. Matsumoto M. 1. Moser L. (G) 26. Motoyama H. 66. Nishikawa J.
29. Ahmedov A. 23. Chiba K. 4. Hasukawa S. 39. Hidaka H. 81. Kozuka K. 97. Ohata R. 16. Umeda T. (G) 28. Yoshida Y. 17. Yumiba M.
Coaches
Kiyama T.
Yoshida T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Shirai K. ⚽, Werik Popo (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Takahashi T. ↓, Chiba K. ↑,
60', Kitazume K. ↓, Hidaka H. ↑,
63', Sumiyoshi J. 🟨,
65', Werik Popo ↓, Leo Gaucho ↑,
65', Kimura T. ↓, Lucao ↑,
70', Matsuzaki K. ↓, Kozuka K. ↑,
74', Esaka A. ↓, Nishikawa J. ↑,
79', 2 - 0, Leo Gaucho ⚽, Lucao (A),
82', Shimamoto Y. ↓, Ahmedov A. ↑,
85', Yamane T. ↓, Motoyama H. ↑,
85', Shirai K. ↓, Browne N. ↑,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Okayama won 1.
Okayama is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Shimizu has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Shimizu has had a series of home games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Okayama: Tabei R.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Okayama: Kudo K.
(Hamstring Injury)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Okayama won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 0.9:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Okayama won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
China
Japan
Watch
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Hamada T. (G) 
Werik Popo 
Oh Se-Hun 
Moser L. (G) 
Ahmedov A. 
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