Match Info

JAPAN: J2 LEAGUE - ROUND 37

Date: 1 October 2023, Sunday

Location: Shoda Shoyu Stadium Gunma (Maebashi)


	Thespakusatsu Gunma		Tokyo Verdy

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.75	1.67	Watch
	5	3.3	1.61
	5	3.6	1.66	Watch
	5.73	3.7	1.69
	5.5	3.25	1.62
	5.15	3.62	1.69	Watch
	5.2	3.55	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.26 ↑ (3.9)	3.54 ↓ (3.6)	1.66 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thespakusatsu Gunma
17.7%

Draw
26.2%

Tokyo Verdy
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

25.8%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

25.3%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thespakusatsu Gunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Thespakusatsu Gunma's form might have worsened.

Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tokyo Verdy's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thespakusatsu Gunma than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Thespakusatsu Gunma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	30%	60%

Thespakusatsu Gunma - Tokyo Verdy Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Thespakusatsu will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tokyo Verdy: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Kushibiki M. (G) 5. Kawakami C. 24. Sakai S. 2. Shirowa H. (C) 36. Nakashio D. 10. Sato R. 38. Amagasa T. 15. Kazama K. 7. Kawamoto R. 23. Hiramatsu S. 39. Takagi A.	1. Vidotto M. (G) 6. Miyahara K. 13. Hayashi N. 3. Taniguchi H. 24. Narawa Y. 7. Morita K. (C) 8. Saito K. 25. Inami T. 47. Nakahara H. 39. Someno I. 14. Hasegawa T.
Substitutes
42. Ishii R. (G) 4. Kawakami Y. 50. Kikuchi K. 9. Kitagawa S. 14. Shiraishi T. 13. Take H. 6. Uchida T.	26. Kato R. 29. Kawamura K. 21. Nagasawa Y. (G) 30. Sagawa K. 5. Taira T. 23. Tsunashima Y. 16. Yamakoshi K.
Coaches
Otsuki T.	Jofuku H.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Thespakusatsu won 0.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Tokyo Verdy could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tokyo Verdy is a favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Thespakusatsu won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 20-31.

Including matches at home between the teams Thespakusatsu won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thespakusatsu Gunma
Japan J2 League
27.09.23	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:1 ✺
23.09.23	Renofa Yamaguchi - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:0 ✺
17.09.23	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Iwaki	1:0 ✺
09.09.23	V-Varen Nagasaki - Thespakusatsu Gunma	2:1 ✺
03.09.23	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Machida Zelvia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLWLT
- Tokyo Verdy
Japan J2 League
24.09.23	Tokyo Verdy - Fujieda MYFC	2:2 ✺
15.09.23	Ventforet Kofu - Tokyo Verdy	1:1 ✺
09.09.23	Tokyo Verdy - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:0 ✺
02.09.23	Zweigen Kanazawa - Tokyo Verdy	0:3 ✺
26.08.23	Tokyo Verdy - Fagiano Okayama	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
18.06.23	Tokyo Verdy - Thespakusatsu Gunma	2:2
Japan Emperors Cup
07.06.23	Tokyo Verdy - Thespakusatsu Gunma	2:1
Japan J2 League
10.09.22	Tokyo Verdy - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:1
13.03.22	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Tokyo Verdy	0:1
11.07.21	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Tokyo Verdy	2:2
05.05.21	Tokyo Verdy - Thespakusatsu Gunma	3:1
15.11.20	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Tokyo Verdy	0:3

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