Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 32

Date: 22 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Transcosmos Stadium Nagasaki (Nagasaki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	V-Varen Nagasaki		Thespakusatsu Gunma

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.5	5.75	Watch
	1.47	4	5.25
	1.47	4.33	6	Watch
	1.5	4.6	6.35
	1.49	4.36	6.06	Watch
	1.44	4.2	5.5
	1.47	4.3	6.02	Watch
	1.48	4.4	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.5)	4.34 ↑ (4.33)	5.84 ↓ (5.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

V-Varen Nagasaki
62.8%

Draw
21.4%

Thespakusatsu Gunma
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

21.6%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

22.2%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

V-Varen Nagasaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Thespakusatsu Gunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thespakusatsu Gunma than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

V Varen Nagasaki - Thespakusatsu Gunma Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. V-Varen Nagasaki will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Wakahara T. (G) 44. Aoki Y. 4. Valdo 5. Tanaka H. 23. Yoneda S. 17. Akino H. 6. Matheus Jesus 35. Abe T. 7. Marcos Guilherme 32. Joppu S. 19. Sawada T.	21. Kushibiki M. (G) 24. Sakai S. 34. Koyanagi T. 22. Takahashi Y. 5. Kawakami C. 15. Kazama K. 44. Semba T. 17. Yamanaka A. 28. Kabayama R. 14. Kawamoto R. 23. Hiramatsu S.
Substitutes
31. Harada G. (G) 33. Kasayanagi T. 13. Kato M. 8. Masuyama A. 20. Nakamura K. 48. Teruyama H. 24. Yamada R.	6. Amagasa T. 42. Ishii R. (G) 32. Kawata A. 9. Kitagawa S. 36. Nakashio D. 40. Sagawa K. 29. Tagashira R.
Coaches
Shimotaira T.	Muto A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Valdo 🟨,
45+2', Hiramatsu S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Abe T. ⚽, Joppu S. (A),
61', Hiramatsu S. ↓, Kawata A. ↑,
61', Kabayama R. ↓, Kitagawa S. ↑,
67', Joppu S. ↓, Kato M. ↑,
75', 2 - 0, Marcos Guilherme ⚽, Sawada T. (A),
76', Sawada T. ↓, Kasayanagi T. ↑,
76', Marcos Guilherme ↓, Masuyama A. ↑,
78', Kawamoto R. ↓, Sagawa K. ↑,
84', Takahashi Y. ↓, Nakashio D. ↑,
84', Kazama K. ↓, Amagasa T. ↑,
85', Aoki Y. ↓, Yamada R. ↑,
86', Akino H. ↓, Nakamura K. ↑,
90+4', Sagawa K. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches V-Varen Nagasaki won 4.

Recent matches V-Varen Nagasaki is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Thespakusatsu is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Thespakusatsu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match V-Varen Nagasaki is a favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches V-Varen Nagasaki won 14 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 38-17.

Including matches at home between the teams V-Varen Nagasaki won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 20-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- V-Varen Nagasaki
Japan J2 League
15.09.24	Iwaki - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:2 ✺
07.09.24	Shimizu S-Pulse - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	V-Varen Nagasaki - Tochigi	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	V-Varen Nagasaki - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
21.08.24	V-Varen Nagasaki - Yokohama F. Marinos	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTTLL
- Thespakusatsu Gunma
Japan J2 League
14.09.24	Montedio Yamagata - Thespakusatsu Gunma	4:1 ✺
07.09.24	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Vegalta Sendai	0:0 ✺
01.09.24	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Blaublitz Akita	1:0 ✺
25.08.24	Mito HollyHock - Thespakusatsu Gunma	2:1 ✺
17.08.24	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Yokohama FC	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
27.04.24	Thespakusatsu Gunma - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:2
09.09.23	V-Varen Nagasaki - Thespakusatsu Gunma	2:1
08.04.23	Thespakusatsu Gunma - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:0
18.06.22	V-Varen Nagasaki - Thespakusatsu Gunma	2:0
30.03.22	Thespakusatsu Gunma - V-Varen Nagasaki	2:3
03.11.21	V-Varen Nagasaki - Thespakusatsu Gunma	4:1
10.04.21	Thespakusatsu Gunma - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:2

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