Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 3

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio José Dellagiovanna (Buenos Aires) 🌤️ ...

Referee: De Armas M. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	21:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	10:00	beIN Connect
Bolivia	20:00	ESPN 2, ESPN
Brazil	21:00	Paramount+
Canada	20:00	beIN Connect
Colombia	19:00	ESPN
Ecuador	19:00	ESPN
Israel	03:00	Sport 4
Italy	02:00	Como TV
Mexico	18:00	Disney+
New Zealand	12:00	beIN Connect
Paraguay	20:00	ESPN 2, ESPN
Peru	19:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Uruguay	21:00	Disney+
Usa	20:00	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	20:00	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	Tigre		América de Cali

	1	X	2
	2	3.25	4.1	Watch
	1.93	3.2	4.1
	2.02	2.98	3.95	Watch
	2.03	3.07	4.33
	2.06	3.09	4.12	Watch
	1.95	3	4	Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.89)	3.12 ↓ (3.18)	4.07 ↓ (4.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tigre
46.8%

Draw
30.1%

América de Cali
23.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.4%

29.4%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

32%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tigre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

América de Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigre than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tigre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América de Cali than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	13.3%	13.3%

Tigre - América de Cali Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Tigre will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). América de Cali will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tigre: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tigre (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - América de Cali (4.46) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tigre (votes: 1 - 33.3%). América de Cali (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Zenobio F. T. (G) 4. Moreno V. 2. Laso J. (C) 42. Arias R. 24. Alvarez F. 30. Elias J. 5. Leyes B. 8. Garay M. 33. Cabrera E. 22. Lopez S. 29. Russo I.	1. Jean (G) 28. Mina L. M. 2. Torres M. 4. Mosquera A. 30. Bertel O. 15. Carrascal R. (C) 5. Escobar J. 21. Angel T. 10. Guzman Y. 7. Murillo J. 9. Valencia D.
Substitutes
3. Banegas N. 20. Barrionuevo A. 21. Medina S. 55. Mosqueira J. 23. Pineiro G. 77. Rivas M. 9. Romero D. 10. Saralegui J. 11. Serrago T. 17. Soto G. 26. Sultani T. (G) 32. Villalba J.	8. Borrero D. 6. Cavadia J. 16. Correa B. 22. Hernandez N. 17. Lucumi J. 11. Machis D. 19. Palacios J. 20. Ramos A. 25. Romero J. 23. Sierra C. 12. Soto J. (G) 24. Tovar C.
Coaches
Dabove D.	Gonzalez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', Laso J. ↓, Barrionuevo A. ↑,
14', 1 - 0, Garay M. ⚽, Lopez S. (A),
28', 2 - 0, Russo I. ⚽, Arias R. (A),
31', Garay M. 🟨,
35', Elias J. 🟨,
45+2', Mosquera A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Torres M. 🟨,
58', Angel T. ↓, Lucumi J. ↑,
63', Guzman Y. ↓, Borrero D. ↑,
73', Garay M. ↓, Saralegui J. ↑,
75', Carrascal R. ↓, Ramos A. ↑,
76', Mina L. M. ↓, Correa B. ↑,
83', Elias J. ↓, Villalba J. ↑,
83', Cabrera E. ↓, Romero D. ↑,
83', Lopez S. ↓, Pineiro G. ↑,

Preview

Tigre has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

América de Cali is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Tigre is considered a favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Tigre
Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.04.26	Sarmiento de Junín - Tigre	1:0 ✺
20.04.26	Tigre - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
16.04.26	Tigre - Deportivo Macará	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.04.26	Atlético Tucumán - Tigre	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.04.26	Alianza Atlético - Tigre	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTLTT
- América de Cali
Colombian Primera A
25.04.26	Deportivo Cali - América de Cali	1:0 ✺
22.04.26	Fortaleza CEIF - América de Cali	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	América de Cali - Millonarios	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
15.04.26	América de Cali - Alianza Atlético	2:1 ✺
09.04.26	Deportivo Macará - América de Cali	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWWT

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