Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 1

Date: 7 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Miguel Grau (Callao)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Colombia	DSports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 2
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 2
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Latino, Tubi TV
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, DSports 2, Inter


	Alianza Atlético		Tigre

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.2	1.91	Watch
	3.7	2.95	2.15
	4.25	3.05	1.92	Watch
	4.68	3.14	1.94
	4.55	3.18	1.93	Watch
	4.4	2.9	1.91	Watch
	4.46	3.05	1.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.4 ↑ (3.49)	3.07 ↑ (2.86)	1.95 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Atlético
21.3%

Draw
30.6%

Tigre
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

33%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

31.5%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Atlético has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alianza Atlético's form might have worsened.

Tigre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tigre's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alianza Atlético, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigre than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tigre, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	7.7%	84.6%

Alianza Atlético - Tigre Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Alianza Atlético will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Tigre will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tigre: 65% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tigre (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Alianza Atlético (4.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Alianza Atlético (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tigre (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Prieto D. (G) 21. Perleche E. 2. Suarez R. 4. Villegas J. C. 24. Gordillo A. 15. Lupu H. (C) 10. Diaz G. 20. Perez J. 23. Munoz A. 11. Larios Saavedra G. A. 7. Coronel F.	12. Zenobio F. T. (G) 17. Soto G. 2. Laso J. (C) 20. Barrionuevo A. 3. Banegas N. 10. Saralegui J. 5. Leyes B. 28. Martinez P. 33. Cabrera E. 29. Russo I. 9. Romero D.
Substitutes
14. Alburqueque L. 29. Antilef A. 22. del Castillo J. 16. Fernandez S. 8. Flores F. 25. Guzman W. 1. Hermoza E. (G) 6. Lujan J. 19. Mendieta J. 17. Penilla C. 32. Quiroga S. 9. Robaldo V.	24. Alvarez F. 42. Arias R. 30. Elias J. 22. Lopez S. 21. Medina S. 4. Moreno V. 55. Mosqueira J. 19. Oviedo A. 23. Pineiro G. 11. Serrago T. 26. Sultani T. (G) 32. Villalba J.
Coaches
Urciuoli F.	Dabove D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Russo I. ⚽,
21', Gordillo A. 🟨,
21', Laso J. 🟨,
26', Banegas N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Munoz A. 🟨,
57', Martinez P. ↓, Lopez S. ↑,
58', Cabrera E. ↓, Pineiro G. ↑,
63', Lupu H. ↓, Quiroga S. ↑,
63', Larios Saavedra G. A. ↓, Robaldo V. ↑,
71', Soto G. ↓, Moreno V. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Robaldo V. ⚽, Munoz A. (A),
75', Saralegui J. ↓, Serrago T. ↑,
76', Banegas N. ↓, Alvarez F. ↑,
78', Pineiro G. 🟨,
79', Gordillo A. ↓, Guzman W. ↑,
84', Perez J. ↓, Fernandez S. ↑,
84', Munoz A. ↓, Penilla C. ↑,
87', Diaz G. 🟨,
90+1', Serrago T. 🟨,
90+5', Laso J. 🟨,

Preview

In recent matches, Alianza Atlético has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tigre is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Tigre has had a series of home games.

In this match, Tigre is the team to beat.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Tigre - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 39.88%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Atlético
Peruvian Liga 1
03.04.26	Alianza Atlético - Atlético Grau	2:2 ✺
22.03.26	Cajamarca - Alianza Atlético	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Alianza Atlético - Moquegua	3:0 ✺
07.03.26	Sporting Cristal - Alianza Atlético	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
03.03.26	Alianza Atlético - Deportivo Garcilaso	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TTWLW
- CA Tigre
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.04.26	Tigre - Independiente Rivadavia	0:2 ✺
20.03.26	Banfield - Tigre	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Tigre - Argentinos Juniors	1:1 ✺
10.03.26	Tigre - Vélez Sársfield	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Tigre - Gimnasia La Plata	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLTTT

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