Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 5

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Cota (Cota)


	Fortaleza CEIF		América de Cali

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.9	Watch
	2.6	2.9	2.7
	2.82	3.05	2.58	Watch
	2.89	3.07	2.76
	2.78	3.09	2.63	Watch
	2.8	2.9	2.5
	2.8	3	2.57	Watch
	2.62	3	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.63)	3.01 ↑ (2.85)	2.67 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortaleza CEIF
34.1%

Draw
31%

América de Cali
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

31.4%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

31.8%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortaleza CEIF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

América de Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América de Cali than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Fortaleza CEIF - América de Cali Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Fortaleza (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fortaleza (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silva M. (G) 16. Cajares J. 6. Diaz Y. 18. Balanta J. 15. Cuero S. 17. Balanta Carabali K. A. 14. Pico L. (C) 10. Velasquez J. 33. Arroyo A. 26. Rivas Torres R. D. 9. Herrera J.	12. Soto J. (G) 16. Correa B. 4. Mosquera A. 24. Tovar C. 30. Bertel O. 15. Carrascal R. (C) 5. Escobar J. 21. Angel T. 10. Guzman Y. 7. Murillo J. 9. Valencia D.
Substitutes
7. Martinez J. 5. Medina Obando J. 8. Navarro S. 20. Orozco C. 19. Pulicastro F. 21. Ramirez S. 12. Santander C. (G) 29. Wilke T.	35. Angulo K. 6. Cavadia J. 1. Jean (G) 17. Lucumi J. 28. Mina L. M. 20. Ramos A. 25. Romero J. 23. Sierra C. 2. Torres M.
Coaches
Oliveros S.	Gonzalez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Velasquez J. 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, Angel T. ⚽, Correa B. (A),
29', Valencia D. 🟥,
39', Cajares J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Velasquez J. ↓, Navarro S. ↑,
64', 0 - 2, Guzman Y. (Penalty Awarded),
65', Guzman Y. 🟨,
65', Balanta Carabali K. A. ↓, Wilke T. ↑,
69', Angel T. ↓, Torres M. ↑,
69', Murillo J. ↓, Lucumi J. ↑,
70', Rivas Torres R. D. ↓, Pulicastro F. ↑,
74', Escobar J. 🟨,
74', Diaz Y. ↓, Medina Obando J. ↑,
75', Correa B. ↓, Mina L. M. ↑,
80', Soto J. 🟨,
83', Guzman Y. ↓, Sierra C. ↑,
83', Escobar J. ↓, Cavadia J. ↑,
86', 1 - 2, Arroyo A. ⚽, Navarro S. (A),
88', Mina L. M. 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ))

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Fortaleza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	America De Cali	12	8	3	1	24:7	17	27
16	Fortaleza	13	1	8	4	14:19	-5	11

Last Results with these Odds

América de Cali - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 34.65%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortaleza CEIF
Colombian Primera A
18.04.26	Fortaleza CEIF - Rionegro Águilas	2:0 ✺
03.04.26	Fortaleza CEIF - Inter Bogotá	1:1 ✺
30.03.26	Millonarios - Fortaleza CEIF	2:2 ✺
24.03.26	Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo Pasto	1:2 ✺
19.03.26	Deportes Tolima - Fortaleza CEIF	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WTTLL
- América de Cali
Colombian Primera A
19.04.26	América de Cali - Millonarios	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
15.04.26	América de Cali - Alianza Atlético	2:1 ✺
09.04.26	Deportivo Macará - América de Cali	1:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
05.04.26	Cúcuta Deportivo - América de Cali	2:0 ✺
02.04.26	América de Cali - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
13.09.25	Fortaleza CEIF - América de Cali	1:0
30.03.25	América de Cali - Fortaleza CEIF	1:0
28.09.24	América de Cali - Fortaleza CEIF	1:1
17.03.24	Fortaleza CEIF - América de Cali	0:0

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