Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 14

Date: 20 May 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Tigre 2		Sarmiento de Junín 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	2.98	3.75	Watch
	1.99	3.08	3.97
	2	2.97	3.98	Watch
	2	2.88	3.5
	1.95	3.02	3.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.93)	2.99 ↓ (3.3)	3.82 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tigre 2
45.8%

Draw
30.4%

Sarmiento de Junín 2
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

27.5%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

26.4%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tigre 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Sarmiento de Junín 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigre 2 than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín 2 than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Tigre 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
18', 0 - 2, ⚽,
40', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
83', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 16).

In recent matches, Tigre 2 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sarmiento 2 is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tigre 2 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tigre 2 won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Tigre 2 won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tigre 2
Argentinian Reserve League
13.05.26	Argentinos Juniors 2 - Tigre 2	2:0 ✺
07.05.26	Tigre 2 - Aldosivi 2	2:1 ✺
28.04.26	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Tigre 2	1:2 ✺
21.04.26	Tigre 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	0:1 ✺
14.04.26	Tigre 2 - Unión Santa Fe 2	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWLT
- Sarmiento de Junín 2
Argentinian Reserve League
14.05.26	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - San Lorenzo 2	1:2 ✺
06.05.26	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	4:0 ✺
28.04.26	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - River Plate 2	2:3 ✺
22.04.26	Atlético de Rafaela 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	0:1 ✺
14.04.26	Racing Club 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
22.10.24	Tigre 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	1:1
22.05.24	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Tigre 2	0:1
16.08.23	Tigre 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	1:0
10.04.23	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Tigre 2	1:1
05.10.22	Tigre 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	1:1

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