Match Info

Primera B - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano de Techo (Bogotá)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Tigres		Real Cundinamarca

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.55	2.9	2.55
	3.6	3.05	2.05
	2.88	2.91	2.58
	14.54	5.92	1.19	Watch
	3.68	3.06	2.07	Watch
	2.54	3.2	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.97 ↑ (2.54)	3.51 ↑ (3.2)	2.17 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tigres
21.3%

Draw
30.1%

Real Cundinamarca
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

28.6%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

28%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tigres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tigres's form might have worsened.

Real Cundinamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Cundinamarca's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigres than the current prediction. (+15.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tigres, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Cundinamarca than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Cundinamarca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tigres - Real Cundinamarca Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Cundinamarca will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Huertas J. (G) 25. Arrechea E. 5. Asprilla S. 34. Ibarra C. 3. Jose M. 18. Martinez J. 36. Mejia B. 21. Paez D. 15. Quinones J. 29. Ramirez Acosta J. P. 6. Valbuena S.	33. Catano K. (G) 9. Asprilla Moreno J. 30. Barbosa Gomez S. P. 16. Cajares J. (C) 6. Camacho I. 10. Castano C. 8. Davila W. 31. Florez C. 14. Rocha A. 2. Suaza Castaneda J. B. 32. Viveros J.
Substitutes
23. Alvarez 31. Aragon O. 13. Cuadros A. 22. Florez M. (G) 27. Hincapie Gomez J. F. 20. Mosquera F. 16. Quinones S. 30. Rodallega S. 24. Sanchez	7. Caicedo B. 21. Cundumi I. 1. Hinestroza Mosquera K. (G) 5. Hoyos J. 29. Montano L. 22. Negrete C. 4. Parra N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Martinez J. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Asprilla Moreno J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ramirez Acosta J. P. ↓, Hincapie Gomez J. F. ↑,
53', Asprilla Moreno J. 🟨,
55', Barbosa Gomez S. P. 🟨,
55', 🟨,
58', Valbuena S. 🟨,
64', Jose M. ↓, Cuadros A. ↑,
64', Asprilla S. ↓, Aragon O. ↑,
70', 0 - 2, Asprilla Moreno J. ⚽,
70', Davila W. ↓, Caicedo B. ↑,
76', Florez C. ↓, Hoyos J. ↑,
78', Martinez J. ↓, Rodallega S. ↑,
87', Rocha A. ↓, Negrete C. ↑,
87', Castano C. ↓, Cundumi I. ↑,
87', Asprilla Moreno J. ↓, Montano L. ↑,
87', Valbuena S. ↓, Alvarez ↑,
90+4', 🟨,
90+5', Cuadros A. 🟨,
90+5', Paez D. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).

Tigres has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Real Cundinamarca has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tigres may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tigres won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Tigres won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tigres FC
Colombian Primera B
06.09.25	Bogotá - Tigres	1:0 ✺
01.09.25	Tigres - Cúcuta Deportivo	0:0 ✺
22.08.25	Real Cartagena - Tigres	4:0 ✺
15.08.25	Tigres - Jaguares de Córdoba	1:2 ✺
11.08.25	Leones - Tigres	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTLLT
- Real Cundinamarca
Colombian Primera B
08.09.25	Real Cundinamarca - Patriotas	0:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
02.09.25	Real Cundinamarca - Deportivo Pereira	2:2 penalties ✺
Colombian Primera B
30.08.25	Real Cundinamarca - Leones	3:0 ✺
Colombian Copa
26.08.25	Deportivo Pereira - Real Cundinamarca	4:3 ✺
Colombian Primera B
22.08.25	Boca Juniors de Cali - Real Cundinamarca	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
08.04.25	Real Cundinamarca - Tigres	1:1
22.08.24	Real Cundinamarca - Tigres	1:0
02.03.24	Tigres - Real Cundinamarca	1:0
24.08.23	Real Cundinamarca - Tigres	2:0

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