Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 5

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Universitario (San Nicolás de los Garza)

Referee: Ramos C. A. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Guatemala	Azteca Guatemala
Mexico	Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Caliente TV, Fox Sports, Tubi TV
Usa	Estrella TV, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, NBC Universo, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW


	Tigres UANL		Club América

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	3.4
	2.3	3.25	3
	2.32	3.05	3.15
	2.31	3.25	3.53
	2.2	3	2.9
	2.24	3.38	3.14	Watch
	2.2	3.25	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.2)	3.2 ↓ (3.25)	3.15 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tigres UANL
41.3%

Draw
29.2%

Club América
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

28.6%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

27.4%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tigres UANL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Club América has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigres UANL than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club América than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Tigres UANL - Club América Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Tigres will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tigres (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Tigres (1.59) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - América (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Tigres (votes: 3 - 60%). América (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Guzman N. (G) 20. Aquino J. 14. Garza J. 11. Brunetta J. 23. Romulo 4. Sanchez J. 16. Lainez D. 8. Gorriaran F. (C) 7. Correa A. 9. Ibanez N. 77. Herrera O.	1. Malagon L. (G) 34. Espinoza D. 3. Reyes I. 29. Juarez R. 26. Borja C. 8. Fidalgo A. (C) 28. Sanchez E. 10. Zendejas A. 7. Rodriguez B. 4. Caceres S. 19. Zuniga J.
Substitutes
17. Cordova S. 3. Farfan M. 10. Gignac A. 2. Joaquim 19. Lopez I. 32. Lorona V. 21. Pizzuto E. 25. Rodriguez F. (G) 197. Sanchez Guevara D. A. 6. Vigon J.	27. Aguirre R. 5. Alvarez K. 13. Cervantes A. 30. Cota R. (G) 11. Davila V. 6. dos Santos J. 20. Gutierrez Torres A. H. 31. Lichnovsky I. 15. Orquin R. 12. Violante I.
Coaches
Pizarro G.	Jardine A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Brunetta J. ⚽, Lainez D. (A),
15', Correa A. 🟨,
41', 1 - 1, Sanchez E. ⚽, Borja C. (A),
45', Herrera O. 🟨,
45+2', Caceres S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', Romulo 🟨,
57', 1 - 2, Sanchez E. ⚽, Rodriguez B. (A),
60', Zendejas A. 🟨,
60', Rodriguez B. ↓, Aguirre R. ↑,
60', Fidalgo A. ↓, Cervantes A. ↑,
63', Garza J. ↓, Joaquim ↑,
64', Herrera O. ↓, Lopez I. ↑,
66', Aguirre R. 🟨,
69', 1 - 3, Guzman N. (Own goal),
75', Zuniga J. ↓, Violante I. ↑,
75', Caceres S. ↓, Lichnovsky I. ↑,
80', Espinoza D. ↓, Alvarez K. ↑,
81', Aquino J. ↓, Farfan M. ↑,
81', Ibanez N. ↓, Gignac A. ↑,
86', Malagon L. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tigres won 1.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Tigres may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

Tigres will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There are questionable in Tigres: Angulo J. (Knee Injury) Flores L. (Muscle Injury) Ibanez N. (Injury) Parra B. (Injury)

There are questionable in América: Naveda S. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tigres won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 17:36. (average 0.9:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Tigres won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.8:1.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Tigres UANL - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.29%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tigres UANL
Mexican Liga MX
08.08.25	Tigres UANL - Puebla	7:0 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
05.08.25	Tigres UANL - Los Angeles	1:2 ✺
01.08.25	Tigres UANL - San Diego	2:1 ✺
29.07.25	Tigres UANL - Houston Dynamo	4:1 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
26.07.25	Toluca - Tigres UANL	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WLWWW
- Club América
Mexican Liga MX
09.08.25	Club América - Querétaro	1:0 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
06.08.25	Club América - Portland Timbers	2:1 penalties ✺
02.08.25	Club América - Minnesota United	4:3 penalties ✺
30.07.25	Club América - Real Salt Lake	2:3 penalties ✺
Mexican Liga MX
26.07.25	Necaxa - Club América	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
29.03.25	Club América - Tigres UANL	3:0
17.07.24	Tigres UANL - Club América	1:0
Mexican Campeon de Campeones
30.06.24	Club América - Tigres UANL	2:1
Mexican Liga MX
09.03.24	Club América - Tigres UANL	2:0
17.12.23	Club América - Tigres UANL	3:0 ET
14.12.23	Tigres UANL - Club América	1:1
11.11.23	Tigres UANL - Club América	0:0

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