Match Info

Liga MX - Clausura - Round 3

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Caliente (Tijuana)

Referee: Caceres V. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	FOX One
South-america	ViX Latin America


	Tijuana		Atlético San Luis

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.6	3.75	Watch
	1.98	3.55	3.55	Watch
	1.91	3.74	3.82
	1.85	3.25	3.5
	1.97	3.74	3.74	Watch
	1.96	3.6	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.78)	3.58 ↓ (3.79)	3.69 ↓ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tijuana
48.5%

Draw
26.1%

Atlético San Luis
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

24.4%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tijuana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Atlético San Luis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

Tijuana - Atlético San Luis Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tijuana (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Tijuana will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Rodriguez A. (C) 3. Inzunza R. 12. Porozo J. 4. Bilbao U. 16. Vega A. 8. Tona I. 11. Preciado A. 22. Rivero I. 10. Castaneda K. 19. Mora G. 9. El Ghezouani M.	1. Sanchez A. (G) 2. Torres R. 3. Robson Bambu 30. Galindo B. 31. Aguila E. 8. Sanabria J. 14. Garcia M. 21. Macias O. 10. Salles-Lamonge S. 9. Joao Pedro Galvao (C) 17. Duarte A.
Substitutes
17. Arciga R. 5. Escamilla K. 6. Gomez A. 29. Hernandez J. (G) 25. Manzanarez O. 30. Martinez J. 33. Ortiz Orozco P. N. 26. Perez A. 7. Vitinho 20. Zapata A.	25. Barajas F. 18. Cruz A. 4. Dominguez J. 20. Flores L. 7. Galdames B. 6. Juanpe 34. Lajud G. (G) 5. Meraz R. 26. Perez S. 11. Rodriguez D.
Coaches
Abreu S.	Abascal G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Vega A. ↓, Ortiz Orozco P. N. ↑,
18', 1 - 0, Preciado A. ⚽,
28', Preciado A. 🟨,
45', Mora G. ↓, Arciga R. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Inzunza R. 🟨,
62', Torres R. ↓, Barajas F. ↑,
62', Duarte A. ↓, Galdames B. ↑,
67', Rivero I. 🟨,
76', Castaneda K. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
76', El Ghezouani M. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
76', Garcia M. ↓, Perez S. ↑,
86', Rivero I. ↓, Zapata A. ↑,
86', Macias O. ↓, Meraz R. ↑,
87', Tona I. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 1, Barajas F. ⚽, Sanabria J. (A),
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 2.

Tijuana has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tijuana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tijuana might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Tijuana: Boya F. (Injury)

There will not play in Atlético San Luis: Lopez De Alba C. I. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Tijuana: Mora G. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:18. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Tijuana won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Club Tijuana	10	4	3	3	15:14	1	15
14	Atl. San Luis	10	3	3	4	14:18	-4	12

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético San Luis - the odds 3.88 are the expected chance of winning is 23.81%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Tijuana
Mexican Liga MX
14.01.26	Querétaro - Tijuana	1:2 ✺
09.01.26	Tijuana - Club América	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
30.12.25	Tijuana - Mazatlan	0:0 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
29.11.25	Tigres UANL - Tijuana	5:0 ✺
27.11.25	Tijuana - Tigres UANL	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WTTLW
- Atlético San Luis
Mexican Liga MX
14.01.26	Club América - Atlético San Luis	0:2 ✺
11.01.26	Atlético San Luis - Tigres UANL	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
23.12.25	Necaxa - Atlético San Luis	2:0 ✺
19.12.25	Mazatlan - Atlético San Luis	2:3 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
08.11.25	Tigres UANL - Atlético San Luis	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
14.09.25	Atlético San Luis - Tijuana	1:1
10.04.25	Tijuana - Atlético San Luis	2:1
19.07.24	Atlético San Luis - Tijuana	1:1
17.02.24	Atlético San Luis - Tijuana	3:3
08.10.23	Tijuana - Atlético San Luis	2:1
10.02.23	Tijuana - Atlético San Luis	1:0
01.09.22	Atlético San Luis - Tijuana	0:0

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