Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 1

Date: 16 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Caliente (Tijuana)

Referee: Rosario I. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	FOX One, FOX Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Tijuana		Tigres UANL

	1	X	2
	3.60	3.30	2.05	Watch
	3.40	3.40	2.05
	3.55	3.35	2.02	Watch
	3.73	3.54	2.07
	3.66	3.45	2.04	Watch
	3.65	3.4	2.04
	3.57	3.35	2.02	Watch
	3.55	3.45	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↑ (3.57)	3.41 ↓ (3.51)	2.03 (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tijuana
26.2%

Draw
27.6%

Tigres UANL
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

26.9%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tijuana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Tigres UANL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.2%	6.2%	87.5%

Tijuana - Tigres UANL Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tigres (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Tigres UANL will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Rodriguez A. (C) 3. Fernandez R. 12. Porozo J. 6. Gomez A. 33. Ortiz Orozco P. N. 8. Tona I. 17. Arciga R. 15. Rivero I. 31. Padilla Y. 7. Preciado A. 19. Abreu D.	1. Guzman N. (G) 14. Garza J. 23. Romulo 28. Joaquim 32. Lorona V. 8. Gorriaran F. (C) 5. Araujo C. 16. Lainez D. 11. Brunetta J. 77. Herrera O. 17. Aguirre R.
Substitutes
4. Bilbao U. 34. Boya F. 9. El Ghezouani M. 202. Gonzalez J. 29. Hernandez J. (G) 188. Magallon A. 197. Orduno J. 26. Perez A. 16. Vega A. 20. Zapata A.	205. de Maria Campos A. 198. Galvan I. 26. Ordonez Delgado F. I. 25. Rodriguez F. (G) 193. Salinas Villarreal M. 30. Sanchez Guevara D. A. 4. Sanchez J. 6. Vigon J.
Coaches
Abreu S.	Pizarro G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Rivero I. ↓, Zapata A. ↑,
32', 1 - 0, Arciga R. ⚽, Padilla Y. (A),
45+1', Aguirre R. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', 1 - 1, Herrera O. ⚽, Joaquim (A),
65', Padilla Y. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
65', Abreu D. ↓, El Ghezouani M. ↑,
65', Ortiz Orozco P. N. ↓, Vega A. ↑,
69', Porozo J. 🟨,
69', Preciado A. 🟨,
69', Gorriaran F. 🟨,
69', Lorona V. 🟨,
74', Fernandez R. ↓, Boya F. ↑,
74', Lorona V. ↓, Ordonez Delgado F. I. ↑,
83', Lainez D. ↓, Sanchez Guevara D. A. ↑,
83', Herrera O. ↓, Vigon J. ↑,
84', Guzman N. 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 1, El Ghezouani M. (Penalty Awarded),
90+5', Vigon J. 🟨,
90+8', 3 - 1, El Ghezouani M. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 2.

Tigres is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Tigres: Angulo J. (Knee Injury) Flores M. (Knee Injury) Rodriguez O. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 12:36. (average 0.6:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Tijuana won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 0.8:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Club Tijuana	10	4	3	3	15:14	1	15
11	Tigres UANL	11	3	4	4	13:15	-2	13

Last Results with these Odds

Tigres UANL - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 46.58%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Tijuana
Mexican Liga MX
25.04.26	Chivas Guadalajara - Tijuana	0:0 ✺
22.04.26	Tijuana - Pachuca	3:1 ✺
18.04.26	Cruz Azul - Tijuana	1:1 ✺
10.04.26	Juárez - Tijuana	1:2 ✺
03.04.26	Tijuana - Tigres UANL	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.6 TWTWW
- Tigres UANL
CONCACAF Champions Cup
30.05.26	Toluca - Tigres UANL	2:1 penalties ✺
Mexican Liga MX
09.05.26	Chivas Guadalajara - Tigres UANL	2:0 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
05.05.26	Tigres UANL - Nashville SC	1:0 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
02.05.26	Tigres UANL - Chivas Guadalajara	3:1 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
28.04.26	Nashville SC - Tigres UANL	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
03.04.26	Tijuana - Tigres UANL	1:0
29.11.25	Tigres UANL - Tijuana	5:0
27.11.25	Tijuana - Tigres UANL	3:0
25.10.25	Tigres UANL - Tijuana	2:0
28.01.25	Tigres UANL - Tijuana	4:0
01.11.24	Tijuana - Tigres UANL	0:3
27.04.24	Tigres UANL - Tijuana	4:1

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