Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 5

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Universitario (Mexico City)

Referee: Ortiz M. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SportyNet
Mexico	Canal 5, TUDN, VIX, ViX Premium
Usa	SportsEngine Play, TUDN


	UNAM		Necaxa

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.75	3.8	Watch
	1.95	3.50	3.50
	1.92	3.45	3.7	Watch
	1.95	3.79	3.95
	1.96	3.69	3.69	Watch
	1.9	3.7	3.9
	1.89	3.79	4.05	Watch
	1.93	3.6	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.84)	3.66 ↓ (3.87)	3.78 ↓ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

UNAM
49.2%

Draw
25.8%

Necaxa
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

24.4%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

25.3%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UNAM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Necaxa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

UNAM - Necaxa Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Necaxa (1.82) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: UNAM will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Necaxa (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Navas K. (C) 12. Calderon C. 7. Lopez R. 6. Nathan Silva 5. Duarte R. 21. Antuna U. 8. Carrasquilla A. 45. Vite P. 18. Arteaga V. 31. Morales R. 23. Juninho	12. Jimenez L. (G) 5. Naves 4. Pena A. (C) 3. Oliveros A. 30. Monreal R. 6. Leyva D. 8. Faravelli L. 88. Vargas C. 21. Espindola M. 9. Carranza J. 13. Gonzalez O.
Substitutes
34. Azuaje A. 2. Bennevendo P. 199. Carranza K. 14. Herrera L. 35. Lara P. (G) 15. Luna I. 9. Martinez G. 22. Medina A. 13. Monroy P. 20. Trigos S.	1. Andrade C. (G) 17. Cortez R. 33. Martinez R. 20. Mendez F. 15. Ochoa D. 16. Pedraza P. 99. Rodriguez E. 11. Torres Patino J. P. 90. Valencia J. 14. Zaleta M.
Coaches
Solari E.	Varini M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Vite P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Juninho ↓, Herrera L. ↑,
46', Vite P. ↓, Luna I. ↑,
61', Vargas C. ↓, Zaleta M. ↑,
61', Carrasquilla A. ↓, Medina A. ↑,
61', Gonzalez O. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
72', Espindola M. ↓, Torres Patino J. P. ↑,
73', Calderon C. ↓, Bennevendo P. ↑,
76', 0 - 1, Carranza J. ⚽, Rodriguez E. (A),
82', Arteaga V. ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
83', Faravelli L. ↓, Pedraza P. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Herrera L. ⚽, Martinez G. (A),
90', Monreal R. 🟨,
90+4', Luna I. 🟨,
90+5', Rodriguez E. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, UNAM has had a series of away games.

UNAM will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in UNAM: Angulo A. (Knee Injury) Cordova S. (Knee Injury) Macias J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Necaxa: Rosero K. (Contusion) Tello I. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:29. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, UNAM won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 1.5:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	UNAM Pumas	10	3	3	4	14:16	-2	12
17	Necaxa	10	2	2	6	12:20	-8	8

Last Results with these Odds

UNAM - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 51.35%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UNAM Pumas
Mexican Liga MX
16.08.26	UNAM - Querétaro	0:0 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
11.08.26	Columbus Crew - UNAM	1:1 ✺
07.08.26	Cincinnati - UNAM	2:0 ✺
04.08.26	Charlotte - UNAM	3:0 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
31.07.26	Juárez - UNAM	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TTLLW
- Club Necaxa
Mexican Liga MX
17.08.26	Necaxa - Club León	1:2 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
13.08.26	New York City - Necaxa	1:2 ✺
06.08.26	Chicago Fire - Necaxa	2:0 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
02.08.26	Toluca - Necaxa	3:1 ✺
26.07.26	Necaxa - Monterrey	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
06.03.26	Necaxa - UNAM	0:1
10.08.25	UNAM - Necaxa	1:1
12.01.25	UNAM - Necaxa	2:1
13.09.24	Necaxa - UNAM	2:0
31.01.24	UNAM - Necaxa	2:2
27.10.23	Necaxa - UNAM	1:0
15.02.23	Necaxa - UNAM	3:1

Upcoming Matches