Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 4

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Caliente (Tijuana)

Referee: Caceres V. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	FOX One
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Tijuana		Cruz Azul

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.25	2.55	Watch
	2.75	3.30	2.40
	2.80	3.30	2.28	Watch
	2.96	3.45	2.56
	2.93	3.33	2.43	Watch
	2.75	3.40	2.50
	2.90	3.32	2.53	Watch
	2.80	3.30	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (3.16)	3.33 ↓ (3.45)	2.46 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tijuana
33.5%

Draw
28.3%

Cruz Azul
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

27%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tijuana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Cruz Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cruz Azul might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	60%	40%

Tijuana - Cruz Azul Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Cruz Azul will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Rodriguez A. (C) 3. Fernandez R. 12. Porozo J. 6. Gomez A. 33. Ortiz Orozco P. N. 8. Tona I. 17. Arciga R. 15. Rivero I. 10. Mora G. 7. Preciado A. 19. Abreu D.	23. Mier K. (G) 16. Marquez J. 12. Montes A. 5. Orozco J. 3. Campos O. 19. Rodriguez C. 6. Lira E. (C) 20. Paradela J. 11. Ebere C. 18. Romero L. 7. Ibanez N.
Substitutes
34. Boya F. 9. El Ghezouani M. 13. Elias Manoel 11. Gonzalez F. 29. Hernandez J. (G) 188. Magallon A. 31. Padilla Y. 26. Perez A. 16. Vega A. 20. Zapata A.	49. Diaz J. 21. Fernandez G. 17. Garcia A. 55. Gonzalez R. 1. Gudino A. (G) 32. Jimenez C. 214. Levy M. 10. Montano A. 66. Suarez J.
Coaches
Abreu S.	Huiqui J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
44', 1 - 0, Rivero I. ⚽, Mora G. (A),
45+2', 1 - 1, Ibanez N. ⚽, Romero L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ortiz Orozco P. N. ↓, Vega A. ↑,
49', Ebere C. 🟨,
54', 2 - 1, Mora G. ⚽, Vega A. (A),
56', Preciado A. 🟨,
57', Rivero I. 🟨,
61', Montes A. 🟨,
65', Abreu D. ↓, El Ghezouani M. ↑,
68', Romero L. ↓, Montano A. ↑,
68', Rodriguez C. ↓, Fernandez G. ↑,
74', Marquez J. 🟨,
76', Ebere C. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
80', Paradela J. 🟨,
81', Mora G. ↓, Zapata A. ↑,
81', Tona I. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
81', Arciga R. ↓, Padilla Y. ↑,
86', Montes A. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
86', Marquez J. ↓, Suarez J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Cruz Azul has had a series of home games.

Cruz Azul might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Cruz Azul: Morales A. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:30. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Tijuana won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.6:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Cruz Azul	10	5	1	4	19:18	1	16
8	Club Tijuana	10	4	3	3	15:14	1	15

Last Results with these Odds

Cruz Azul - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 43.47%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Tijuana
CONCACAF League Cup
13.08.26	Portland Timbers - Tijuana	3:1 ✺
06.08.26	Austin FC - Tijuana	2:0 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
31.07.26	Atlético San Luis - Tijuana	0:0 ✺
24.07.26	Tijuana - Club León	1:0 ✺
16.07.26	Tijuana - Tigres UANL	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LLTWW
- Cruz Azul FC
CONCACAF League Cup
13.08.26	Cruz Azul - Chicago Fire	1:2 ✺
06.08.26	Cruz Azul - Philadelphia Union	1:0 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
01.08.26	Cruz Azul - Atlante	2:3 ✺
Mexican Campeon de Campeones
25.07.26	Toluca - Cruz Azul	1:3 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
21.07.26	Cruz Azul - Puebla	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
18.04.26	Cruz Azul - Tijuana	1:1
28.09.25	Tijuana - Cruz Azul	2:0
31.01.25	Tijuana - Cruz Azul	2:3
30.11.24	Cruz Azul - Tijuana	3:0
27.11.24	Tijuana - Cruz Azul	3:0
16.07.24	Cruz Azul - Tijuana	3:0
30.01.24	Cruz Azul - Tijuana	1:0

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