Match Info

1. MFL - Round 32

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


North-macedonia	MRT 3, MRT Play


	Tikveš		Pelister

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.45	2.25
	3.76	4.01	1.68
	5.47	5.27	1.4	Watch
	4	3.75	1.62
	4.04	4.05	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.98 ↑ (2.06)	4.11 ↑ (3.31)	1.72 ↓ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tikveš
23.4%

Draw
22.6%

Pelister
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

27.3%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

28.1%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tikveš has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tikveš's form might have worsened.

Pelister has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+25.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pelister's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tikveš than the current prediction. (+21.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tikveš, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pelister than the current prediction. (-26%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pelister, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Tikveš - Pelister Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Tikveš will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Pelister will win (votes: 9 - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pelister: 71.4% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pelister (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Dimovski S. (C) 34. Ackovski K. 27. Fall I. 20. Guel M. 22. Lawal T. 14. Lucianinho 91. Najdovski N. 6. Ramadani B. 17. Sylla N. 23. Todorov M. 25. Wisdom E. O.	1. Jovcevski A. (G) 11. Boskovski F. 28. Bulatovic L. 44. Ivanovski M. (C) 21. Krstevski G. 4. Ristevski A. 24. Ristevski K. 14. Ristovski M. 10. Spirovski S. 22. Srbijanac M. 5. Zdravkovic N.
Substitutes
77. Golubov D. 10. Milovanovikj D. 5. Mojsov D. 11. Petrovic M. 9. Sadik B. 1. Stevkovski H. (G) 19. Stojchev B. 24. Stojkoski K. 8. Tasev D. 90. Tasev S. (G) 21. Varelovski A.	17. Angelevski D. 90. Dimovski N. (G) 6. Grozdanovski H. 7. Kerim V. 34. Milenkovski F. 27. Milojevic L. 29. Mrmachovski J. 8. Petkovski P. 9. Petrovic F. 15. Stojanovski H. 30. Zdravevski B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', Dimovski S. ↓, Stevkovski H. ↑,
21', Ristovski M. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Ackovski K. ⚽,
32', Ramadani B. 🟨,
37', Ristevski A. 🟨,
38', 2 - 0, Sylla N. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
67', 🟨,
73', 2 - 1, ⚽,
76', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+3', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tikveš won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Tikveš may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Tikveš won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 0.9:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Tikveš won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Tikves	8	3	4	1	17:7	10	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GFK Tikveš
North Macedonian 1 MFL
10.05.26	Makedonija Gjorče Petrov - Tikveš	1:4 ✺
03.05.26	Tikveš - Arsimi	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Vardar - Tikveš	7:0 ✺
17.04.26	Tikveš - Shkendija Tetovo	1:4 ✺
13.04.26	Struga - Tikveš	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WTLLW
- FK Pelister
North Macedonian 1 MFL
02.05.26	Rabotnički - Pelister	3:3 ✺
26.04.26	AP Brera Strumica - Pelister	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Pelister - Makedonija Gjorče Petrov	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	Arsimi - Pelister	1:0 ✺
08.04.26	Pelister - Vardar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

North Macedonian 1 MFL
08.03.26	Tikveš - Pelister	1:0
30.10.25	Pelister - Tikveš	0:0
27.04.25	Pelister - Tikveš	1:0
23.02.25	Tikveš - Pelister	1:2
05.10.24	Pelister - Tikveš	0:0
01.05.22	Pelister - Tikveš	1:1
20.02.22	Tikveš - Pelister	1:0

Tikveš - Pelister: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide