Match Info

Serie D - Round 9

Date: 1 June 2026, Monday


	Tirol		Ferroviário Fortaleza

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.98	2.12
	3.42	3	2.14
	3.53	2.82	2.23	Watch
	3.4	2.75	2.1
	3.46	2.86	2.16
	2.96	3.15	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (2.96)	2.93 ↓ (3.15)	2.17 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tirol
27.1%

Draw
31%

Ferroviário Fortaleza
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

28.8%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

28.2%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tirol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Ferroviário Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tirol than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Tirol - Ferroviário Fortaleza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
85', Carlinhos 🟥,

Preview

In recent matches, Tirol has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ferroviário is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ferroviário may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ferroviário might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tirol won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.5:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Tirol won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Ferroviário Fortaleza - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 40.52%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Centro de Formação de Atletas do Tirol
Brazilian Serie D
26.05.26	Atlético Cearense - Tirol	0:3 ✺
16.05.26	Tirol - Fluminense Piaui	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Tirol - Altos	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Altos - Tirol	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Fluminense Piaui - Tirol	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WTWLT
- Ferroviário Fortaleza
Brazilian Serie D
23.05.26	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Altos	3:1 ✺
17.05.26	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Atlético Cearense	2:0 ✺
11.05.26	Piauí - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Piauí	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
29.04.26	ABC - Ferroviário Fortaleza	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
11.04.26	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Tirol	3:2
Brazilian Copa Fares Lopes
27.11.25	Tirol - Ferroviário Fortaleza	3:2
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
22.02.25	Tirol - Ferroviário Fortaleza	0:3
15.02.25	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Tirol	2:1

Tirol - Ferroviário Fortaleza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide