Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 26

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Abel Alves de Figueiredo (Santo Tirso)


	Tirsense		Chaves B

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.05	3.4
	1.93	3.05	3.41
	2.02	3.21	3.49	Watch
	2.05	2.8	3.4
	2.01	3.1	3.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.19)	3.04 ↓ (3.13)	3.45 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tirsense
44.6%

Draw
29.5%

Chaves B
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tirsense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Chaves B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tirsense than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaves B than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Tirsense - Chaves B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
84', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 and 8).

Tirsense is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Chaves B has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tirsense might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tirsense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Tirsense	4	3	0	1	7:2	5	9
3	Chaves B	4	3	0	1	5:4	1	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tirsense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
12.04.26	Limianos - Tirsense	0:0 ✺
04.04.26	Tirsense - Desportivo Monção	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Mirandela - Tirsense	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Tirsense - Ribeira Brava	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Celoricense - Tirsense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TWWWT
- Desportivo Chaves B
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
12.04.26	Chaves B - Bragança	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Chaves B - Limianos	3:0 ✺
22.03.26	Desportivo Monção - Chaves B	1:4 ✺
15.03.26	Chaves B - Mirandela	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Ribeira Brava - Chaves B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
21.12.25	Chaves B - Tirsense	0:1

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