Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 22

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday


	Chaves B		Mirandela

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.25	4.05
	1.87	3.04	4.14
	1.85	3.21	4.16	Watch
	1.85	3	4
	1.87	3.33	4.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.74)	3.17 ↓ (3.52)	4.08 ↑ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chaves B
49.1%

Draw
28.7%

Mirandela
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

25.7%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

25.1%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chaves B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Mirandela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaves B than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirandela than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Chaves B - Mirandela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 🟥,
78', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 11 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

In this match, Chaves B is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Chaves B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Chaves B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Chaves B	4	3	0	1	5:4	1	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desportivo Chaves B
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
08.03.26	Ribeira Brava - Chaves B	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Chaves B - Celoricense	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Vilaverdense - Chaves B	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Chaves B - Camacha	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Machico - Chaves B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLTTL
- SC Mirandela
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
08.03.26	Mirandela - Limianos	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Desportivo Monção - Mirandela	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Bragança - Mirandela	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Mirandela - Ribeira Brava	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	Celoricense - Mirandela	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
09.11.25	Mirandela - Chaves B	2:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
12.01.20	Chaves B - Mirandela	4:1
17.02.19	Mirandela - Chaves B	1:0

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