Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 19

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Camacha		Tirsense

	1	X	2
	2.28	2.82	3.1
	2.42	2.92	3.01	Watch
	2.3	2.75	3
	2.27	2.85	3.23
	2.14	3.15	3.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.07)	2.9 ↓ (3.1)	3.17 ↓ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Camacha
39.9%

Draw
31.4%

Tirsense
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

29.2%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

28.8%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Camacha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Tirsense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camacha than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tirsense than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Camacha - Tirsense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 and 8).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Camacha might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Camacha won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Camacha won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Tirsense	4	3	0	1	7:2	5	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Camacha
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
15.02.26	Chaves B - Camacha	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Camacha - Limianos	2:2 ✺
31.01.26	Camacha - Vilaverdense	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Desportivo Monção - Camacha	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Camacha - Mirandela	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TTWLW
- Tirsense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
15.02.26	Tirsense - Machico	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Brito - Tirsense	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Tirsense - São Martinho	3:1 ✺
17.01.26	Vianense - Tirsense	3:1 ✺
10.01.26	Tirsense - Bragança	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
05.10.25	Tirsense - Camacha	2:2
04.02.24	Tirsense - Camacha	1:1
01.10.23	Camacha - Tirsense	2:1

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