Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 25

Date: 26 December 2022, Monday


	Tiverton Town		Weston-super-Mare

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.75	1.58
	4.2	3.9	1.62
	5.27	4.21	1.55
	4	3.75	1.67
	5.25	4.25	1.5
	3	3.75	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.37 ↑ (2.95)	3.94 ↑ (3.74)	1.65 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tiverton Town
21%

Draw
23.4%

Weston-super-Mare
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

24.3%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

24.4%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiverton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tiverton Town's form might have worsened.

Weston-super-Mare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Weston-super-Mare's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiverton Town than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tiverton Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Weston-super-Mare than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Weston-super-Mare, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Tiverton Town - Weston super Mare Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Tiverton will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Weston-super-Mare will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League South Division (Play Offs) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tiverton won 1.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Weston-super-Mare will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Tiverton won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Tiverton won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiverton Town
English Southern League South Division
07.12.22	Tiverton Town - North Leigh	2:1 ✺
03.12.22	Gosport Borough - Tiverton Town	2:1 ✺
19.11.22	Tiverton Town - Merthyr Town	2:2 ✺
12.11.22	Tiverton Town - Hartley Wintney	1:0 ✺
05.11.22	Winchester City - Tiverton Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLTWW
- Weston-super-Mare
English Southern League South Division
03.12.22	Weston-super-Mare - Hartley Wintney	4:0 ✺
26.11.22	Beaconsfield Town - Weston-super-Mare	1:0 ✺
22.11.22	Yate Town - Weston-super-Mare	0:4 ✺
19.11.22	Weston-super-Mare - Poole Town	2:0 ✺
12.11.22	Merthyr Town - Weston-super-Mare	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
30.03.22	Tiverton Town - Weston-super-Mare	1:2
30.08.21	Weston-super-Mare - Tiverton Town	2:2
30.09.20	Tiverton Town - Weston-super-Mare	3:1
22.10.19	Weston-super-Mare - Tiverton Town	3:2
English FA Trophy
19.11.13	Tiverton Town - Weston-super-Mare	1:2
16.11.13	Weston-super-Mare - Tiverton Town	1:1

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