Match Info

Premier League - Round 2

Date: 16 March 2026, Monday

Location: Centralnyj Stadion (Kostanay)


	Tobol Kostanay		Zhetysu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.28	4.8	8.25
	1.52	3.85	5.7
	1.58	3.85	5.4
	1.57	3.81	5.38	Watch
	1.53	3.5	5.5
	1.58	3.8	6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.23)	3.94 ↓ (4.88)	6.04 ↓ (15.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tobol Kostanay
61.2%

Draw
23.5%

Zhetysu
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75%

18.9%

6.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tobol Kostanay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tobol Kostanay's form might have worsened.

Zhetysu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zhetysu's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Tobol Kostanay - Zhetysu Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tobol will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.25 - Tobol (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tobol (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Ustimenko D. (G) 26. Glushchenkov K. 4. Cavnic N. 15. Vukcevic M. 88. Kalmyrza M. 8. Tagybergen A. 13. Cisse A. 3. Asrankulov R. (C) 11. Marat D. 18. Milovanovic U. 7. Zhumashev Z.	88. Sicaci S. (G) 4. Kashken D. 15. Pajovic J. 5. Orynbassar R. 11. Dobay A. 27. Zivanovic M. 10. Mosiashvili T. 23. Baltabekov A. 9. Abzalov S. 90. Jovanovic S. 7. Muzhikov S. (C)
Substitutes
1. Busurmanov S. (G) 30. Guerra L. 99. Hebaj R. 22. Marochkin A. 35. Melikhov Y. (G) 29. Usenov D. 21. Zhagorov N. 19. Zhumat D. 17. Zuev A.	8. Adakhadziev A. 77. Anuarbekov N. 20. Anuarbek S. 2. Aslan R. 1. Egorov A. (G) 30. Ertis S. 19. Kovacevic M. 17. Nurbol N. 22. Podymskiy D. (G) 57. Umaniyazov M. 21. Zhakipbayev M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Glushchenkov K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
52', Zivanovic M. ↓, Anuarbekov N. ↑,
57', Muzhikov S. 🟨,
58', 1 - 0, Milovanovic U. ⚽,
60', 2 - 0, Zhumashev Z. ⚽,
63', Orynbassar R. ↓, Zhakipbayev M. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Zhakipbayev M. ⚽,
69', Vukcevic M. ↓, Guerra L. ↑,
77', Zhumashev Z. ↓, Zhagorov N. ↑,
78', Zuev A. ↓, Hebaj R. ↑,
82', Abzalov S. ↓, Nurbol N. ↑,
82', Jovanovic S. ↓, Anuarbek S. ↑,
86', Tagybergen A. ↓, Usenov D. ↑,
86', Milovanovic U. ↓, Zhumat D. ↑,
90+2', Anuarbekov N. 🟨,
90+5', Hebaj R. 🟨,
90+8', 2 - 2, Muzhikov S. ⚽,
90+9', Cavnic N. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tobol won 5.

In this match, Tobol is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tobol won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 26:12. (average 1.3:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Tobol won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:8. (average 1.3:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Tobol	26	10	4	12	33:35	-2	34
16	Zhetysu Taldykorgan	26	5	7	14	26:44	-18	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tobol Kostanay
Kazakh Premier League
07.03.26	Aktobe - Tobol Kostanay	4:1 ✺
Kazakh Super Cup
28.02.26	Kairat - Tobol Kostanay	2:3 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
15.01.26	Napredak Kruševac - Tobol Kostanay	0:0 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
26.10.25	Ulytau - Tobol Kostanay	2:2 ✺
19.10.25	Zhetysu - Tobol Kostanay	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWTTW
- FC Zhetysu
Kazakh Premier League
08.03.26	Astana - Zhetysu	4:1 ✺
26.10.25	Zhetysu - Kyzylzhar	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Zhetysu - Tobol Kostanay	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Kairat - Zhetysu	5:0 ✺
16.09.25	Zhetysu - Kaisar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
19.10.25	Zhetysu - Tobol Kostanay	1:2
21.06.25	Tobol Kostanay - Zhetysu	2:1
Kazakh Cup
13.04.25	Tobol Kostanay - Zhetysu	1:0 ET
Kazakh Premier League
18.08.24	Zhetysu - Tobol Kostanay	0:3
04.05.24	Tobol Kostanay - Zhetysu	1:0
24.09.23	Tobol Kostanay - Zhetysu	1:2
02.04.23	Zhetysu - Tobol Kostanay	1:1

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