The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tochigi 33.1%
Draw 30.4%
Blaublitz Akita 36.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.4%
32.4%
35.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.1%
30.8%
33.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tochigi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Blaublitz Akita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blaublitz Akita than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Tochigi - Blaublitz Akita Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Sakuraba R. (G) 26. Tabata T. 24. Tabata R. 25. Iwasaki H. 13. Osone K. 47. Yoshino H. 15. Tsutsumi H. 7. Kawana R. 27. Nagai T. 17. Sugimori K. 9. Kondo Y.
1. Yamada G. (G) 22. Takahashi H. 3. Iizumi R. 17. Nonomura T. 5. Nagai K. 16. Yoshioka M. 7. Mizutani T. 66. Doi K. 14. Oishi R. 18. Handa K. 8. Umeda K.
Substitutes
37. Kimura Y. 40. Meshino S. 81. Nakano K. 80. Otabor K. 4. Sato S. 31. Shikano S. (G) 19. Shoji H. 39. Yagi K. 29. Yano K.
47. Horiuchi T. (G) 77. Nakano Y. 52. Nishimura M. 4. Okano J. 11. Sagawa K. 34. Suzuki S. 23. Yatagai S. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Handa K. ↓, Suzuki S. ↑,
57', Umeda K. ↓, Sagawa K. ↑,
64', Oishi R. ↓, Nakano Y. ↑,
68', Sugimori K. ↓, Nakano K. ↑,
85', Nakano Y. 🟨,
89', Yoshioka M. ↓, Nishimura M. ↑,
90', Yoshino H. ↓, Sato S. ↑,
90', Kondo Y. ↓, Yano K. ↑,
90', Tabata R. ↓, Kimura Y. ↑,
90+1', Iwasaki H. 🟨,
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, Nakano K. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Sagawa K. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Iwasaki H. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Suzuki S. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Kimura Y. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Nishimura M. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Tabata T. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Nakano Y. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Osone K. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Nagai K. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tochigi won 1.
Tochigi has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Blaublitz Akita has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Blaublitz Akita may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Tochigi won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 0.9:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Tochigi won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).
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Sakuraba R. (G) 
Otabor K. 
