Match Info

J3 League - Round 13

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: City Football Station (Tochigi)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Tochigi City		Gifu

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.9	3.3
	2.18	2.95	3.3
	2.22	3.14	3.4
	2.23	3.06	3.44	Watch
	2.2	2.75	3.4
	2.23	2.98	3.52	Watch
	2.18	2.95	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.17)	2.96 ↓ (3.3)	3.38 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tochigi City
41.9%

Draw
31%

Gifu
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

27.3%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

26.3%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tochigi City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Gifu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tochigi City than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gifu than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Tochigi City - Gifu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Harada Y. (G) 22. Suzuki H. 42. Jonjic M. 15. Sato Y. 5. Okui R. 10. Okaniwa Y. 20. Tosa R. 14. Sekino G. 77. Tanaka P. J. 99. Hiraoka M. 7. Suzuki R.	31. Serantes J. (G) 22. Mun In-Ju 4. Kai K. 3. Nozawa R. 55. Toyama R. 28. Hakozaki T. 10. Kita R. 16. Nishitani R. 27. Yokoyama T. 9. Dudu 24. Aihara S.
Substitutes
17. Fujiwara T. 33. Inui T. 16. Kato Jo 28. Konishi K. 8. Mori T. 40. Suzuki K. 29. Takayama A. (G) 90. Utaka P. 26. Utsugi S.	23. Hagino K. 39. Izumisawa J. 1. Mogi S. (G) 7. Nakamura J. 26. Ogushi S. 14. Oiji Y. 32. Owie W. 11. Sasaki K. 37. Terasaka S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Sato Y. 🟨,
20', Suzuki R. 🟨,
35', Yokoyama T. 🟨,
39', Okaniwa Y. 🟨,
39', Aihara S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Suzuki R. ↓, Utaka P. ↑,
70', Okaniwa Y. ↓, Mori T. ↑,
70', Sekino G. ↓, Utsugi S. ↑,
70', Nishitani R. ↓, Sasaki K. ↑,
73', 1 - 0, Utaka P. ⚽,
76', Yokoyama T. ↓, Izumisawa J. ↑,
76', Kita R. ↓, Hagino K. ↑,
76', Dudu ↓, Owie W. ↑,
85', Hiraoka M. 🟨,
86', 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League and 15).

Tochigi City is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gifu's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tochigi City could have a small edge in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tochigi City FC
Japan J3 League
06.05.25	Vanraure Hachinohe - Tochigi City	0:0 ✺
03.05.25	Tochigi City - Osaka	2:1 ✺
20.04.25	Matsumoto Yamaga - Tochigi City	0:1 ✺
13.04.25	Kochi United - Tochigi City	0:5 ✺
06.04.25	Tochigi City - Fukushima United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TWWWT
- FC Gifu
Japan J3 League
06.05.25	Gifu - Azul Claro Numazu	3:2 ✺
03.05.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Gifu	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	Gifu - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Gifu - Tochigi	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	Nara Club - Gifu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTWLT

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