Match Info

J2/J3 League - Placement matches - Round 1

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Shoda Shoyu Stadium Gunma (Maebashi)


	Thespakusatsu Gunma		Gifu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	3.1	2.5
	2.48	3.15	2.52	Watch
	2.48	3.3	2.85
	2.61	3.29	2.62	Watch
	2.38	3.25	2.5
	2.55	3.33	2.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.86)	3.24 ↑ (3.21)	2.61 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thespakusatsu Gunma
36.7%

Draw
28.2%

Gifu
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

29%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

28.1%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thespakusatsu Gunma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Gifu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thespakusatsu Gunma than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gifu than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Thespakusatsu Gunma - Gifu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Kondo I. (G) 25. Nakano R. 43. Nose S. 3. Ohata R. 14. Kikuchi K. 38. Konishi H. 37. Sehata G. 6. Yonehara S. 19. Farzan Sana M. 17. Hyakuda M. 7. Nishimura Y.	51. Suganuma K. (G) 85. Hakozaki T. 34. Yumine K. 4. Kai K. 14. Oiji Y. 9. Nakamura S. 10. Kita R. 21. Yokoyama T. 26. Ogushi S. 7. Mun In-Ju 99. Fabio Azevedo
Substitutes
26. Akimoto R. 27. Fujimura R. 88. Kim Je-hee (G) 29. Matsumoto K. 99. Nakashima T. 33. Sakurai A. 97. Song M. 4. Tamashiro T. 18. Tanaka S.	8. Araki D. 79. Fujita J. 3. Hagino K. 40. Hirase D. 39. Izumisawa J. 31. Serantes J. (G) 23. Toyama R. 18. Wade M. 77. Yamaya Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Mun In-Ju ⚽, Yokoyama T. (A),
37', Kai K. 🟨,
45', Yonehara S. ↓, Fujimura R. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sehata G. ↓, Sakurai A. ↑,
58', Ogushi S. ↓, Araki D. ↑,
65', Yokoyama T. ↓, Yamaya Y. ↑,
65', Fabio Azevedo ↓, Wade M. ↑,
66', Nakano R. ↓, Tamashiro T. ↑,
74', Kita R. ↓, Toyama R. ↑,
74', Mun In-Ju ↓, Izumisawa J. ↑,
78', Farzan Sana M. ↓, Matsumoto K. ↑,
78', Nishimura Y. ↓, Nakashima T. ↑,
87', Kikuchi K. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
90+4', Fujimura R. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Thespakusatsu won 0.

Recent performances by Thespakusatsu have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gifu's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gifu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Thespakusatsu won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Thespakusatsu won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.2:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Thespakusatsu Gunma - the odds 2.86 are the expected chance of winning is 32.54%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Gifu - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 38.46%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thespakusatsu Gunma
Japan J2 J3 League
23.05.26	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Sagamihara	7:2 ✺
17.05.26	Blaublitz Akita - Thespakusatsu Gunma	3:1 ✺
09.05.26	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Tochigi City	0:1 penalties ✺
06.05.26	Montedio Yamagata - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:2 ✺
03.05.26	Vanraure Hachinohe - Thespakusatsu Gunma	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WLLWW
- FC Gifu
Japan J2 J3 League
23.05.26	Gifu - Omiya Ardija	0:2 ✺
16.05.26	Ventforet Kofu - Gifu	2:2 ✺
09.05.26	Nagano Parceiro - Gifu	2:3 ✺
06.05.26	Gifu - Matsumoto Yamaga	0:3 ✺
02.05.26	Gifu - Consadole Sapporo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
04.10.25	Gifu - Thespakusatsu Gunma	2:1
03.05.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Gifu	1:1
Japan J2 League
30.07.17	Gifu - Thespakusatsu Gunma	2:0
03.05.17	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Gifu	0:2
03.11.16	Gifu - Thespakusatsu Gunma	2:1
28.02.16	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Gifu	4:0
26.08.15	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Gifu	0:1

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