Match Info

J1 League - Round 5

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Mercari Stadium (Kashima)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT
China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Kashima Antlers		Tokyo Verdy

	1	X	2
	1.79	3.7	4	Watch
	1.77	3.6	4.4
	1.8	3.4	4.35	Watch
	1.87	3.65	4.54
	1.77	3.74	4.54	Watch
	1.8	3.4	4
	1.82	3.75	4.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.77)	3.61 ↓ (4.03)	4.3 ↑ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kashima Antlers
52.1%

Draw
26%

Tokyo Verdy
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

23.4%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kashima Antlers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Tokyo Verdy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Kashima Antlers - Tokyo Verdy Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Tokyo Verdy (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Tokyo Verdy (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Kashima Antlers will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kashima Antlers will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Kashima (votes: 3 - 60%). Tokyo Verdy (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hayakawa T. (G) 22. Nono K. 55. Ueda N. 3. Kim Tae-Hyeon 16. Mizoguchi S. 71. Araki R. 10. Shibasaki G. (C) 6. Misao K. 77. Cavric A. 9. Leo Ceara 40. Suzuki Y.	1. Matheus (G) 15. Suzuki K. 5. Inoue R. 6. Miyahara K. 40. Arai Y. 10. Morita K. (C) 16. Hirakawa R. 23. Fukazawa D. 24. Nakayama S. 27. Shirai R. 9. Someno I.
Substitutes
17. Elber 24. Hayashu H. 14. Higuchi Y. 29. Kajikawa Y. (G) 32. Matsumoto H. 7. Ogawa R. 5. Sekigawa I. 11. Tagawa K. 34. Tokuda H.	30. Kawamura G. 21. Nagasawa Y. (G) 8. Saito K. 29. Sako M. 22. Uchida Y. 13. Yamada G. 11. Yamami H. 28. Yamamoto J. 55. Yoshida T.
Coaches
Oniki T.	Hiroshi J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Suzuki Y. ⚽, Shibasaki G. (A),
40', Matheus ↓, Nagasawa Y. ↑,
45+5', 2 - 0, Suzuki Y. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Shirai R. ↓, Yamami H. ↑,
46', Nakayama S. ↓, Saito K. ↑,
59', Arai Y. ↓, Yoshida T. ↑,
65', Araki R. ↓, Hayashu H. ↑,
65', Shibasaki G. ↓, Higuchi Y. ↑,
66', Miyahara K. 🟨,
75', Fukazawa D. ↓, Kawamura G. ↑,
81', Cavric A. ↓, Ogawa R. ↑,
90+3', Suzuki Y. ↓, Tagawa K. ↑,
90+3', Leo Ceara ↓, Tokuda H. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)).

In this match, Kashima is the team to beat.

There will not play in Kashima: Anzai K. (Knee Injury) Morooka S. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Tokyo Verdy: Hayashi N. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Kashima won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Kashima won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 3.5:1.5).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Kashima Antlers: 13.09% Verdy: 0.65%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Kashima Antlers	4	4	0	0	11:6	5	12
19	Verdy	4	0	2	2	2:6	-4	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kashima Antlers
Japan J1 League
28.02.26	Urawa Red Diamonds - Kashima Antlers	2:3 ✺
21.02.26	Kashima Antlers - Kashiwa Reysol	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Kashima Antlers - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:0 ✺
06.02.26	Tokyo - Kashima Antlers	2:1 penalties ✺
06.12.25	Kashima Antlers - Yokohama F. Marinos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWLW
- Tokyo Verdy
Japan J1 League
27.02.26	Yokohama F. Marinos - Tokyo Verdy	3:2 ✺
21.02.26	Tokyo Verdy - Machida Zelvia	3:2 penalties ✺
15.02.26	Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo Verdy	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Tokyo Verdy - Mito HollyHock	3:1 ✺
06.12.25	Gamba Osaka - Tokyo Verdy	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.7 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
30.11.25	Tokyo Verdy - Kashima Antlers	0:1
22.02.25	Kashima Antlers - Tokyo Verdy	4:0
25.08.24	Tokyo Verdy - Kashima Antlers	2:1
12.05.24	Kashima Antlers - Tokyo Verdy	3:3

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