Match Info

J1 League - Round 18

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Mercari Stadium (Kashima)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT
China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan
World	Onefootball


	Kashima Antlers		Tokyo

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.25	2.7	Watch
	2.45	3.15	2.78	Watch
	2.6	3.45	2.9
	2.53	3.29	2.83	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.75
	2.52	3.18	2.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.47)	3.24 ↓ (3.28)	2.79 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kashima Antlers
37.4%

Draw
29%

Tokyo
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

28.8%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

29.7%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kashima Antlers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	20%	30%

Kashima Antlers - Tokyo Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Kashima will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Tokyo will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashima: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kashima (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Kajikawa Y. (G) 22. Nono K. 55. Ueda N. 5. Sekigawa I. 2. Anzai K. 10. Shibasaki G. (C) 6. Misao K. 40. Suzuki Y. 71. Araki R. 77. Cavric A. 9. Leo Ceara	1. Tanaka H. (G) 2. Muroya S. (C) 24. Scholz A. 17. Inamura H. 42. Hashimoto K. 16. Sato K. 18. Hashimoto K. 27. Tokiwa K. 22. Endo K. 9. Marcelo Ryan 23. Sato R.
Substitutes
13. Chinen K. 24. Hayashu H. 14. Higuchi Y. 25. Koike R. 27. Matsumura Y. 19. Morooka S. 7. Ogawa R. 23. Tsukui K. 21. Yamada T. (G)	31. Kobayashi M. (G) 37. Koizumi K. 8. Ko T. 3. Morishige M. 39. Nakagawa T. 28. Nozawa L. 15. Omori R. 33. Tawaratsumida K. 71. Yamada F.
Coaches
Oniki T.	Matsuhashi R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Muroya S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Leo Ceara ↓, Morooka S. ↑,
62', Cavric A. ↓, Hayashu H. ↑,
66', Hashimoto K. ↓, Ko T. ↑,
74', Shibasaki G. ↓, Chinen K. ↑,
74', Araki R. ↓, Koike R. ↑,
76', Sato R. ↓, Yamada F. ↑,
76', Endo K. ↓, Tawaratsumida K. ↑,
79', 1 - 0, Morooka S. ⚽, Chinen K. (A),
84', Marcelo Ryan ↓, Nakagawa T. ↑,
84', Sato K. ↓, Nozawa L. ↑,
87', Anzai K. ↓, Tsukui K. ↑,
89', Suzuki Y. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)).

Kashima is Confirmed as championsnQualified for J1 League (Play Offs )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashima won 3.

Now, both teams are in good form.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Kashima: Tagawa K. (Injury)

There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kashima won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 28:27. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Kashima won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.4:0.9).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Kashima Antlers: 13.09% FC Tokyo: 11.22%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Kashima Antlers	4	4	0	0	11:6	5	12
5	FC Tokyo	4	2	1	1	8:7	1	7

Last Results with these Odds

Tokyo - the odds 2.86 are the expected chance of winning is 33%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kashima Antlers
Japan J1 League
17.05.26	JEF United Chiba - Kashima Antlers	0:2 ✺
10.05.26	Yokohama F. Marinos - Kashima Antlers	1:2 penalties ✺
06.05.26	Kashima Antlers - Mito HollyHock	3:0 ✺
03.05.26	Kashima Antlers - Machida Zelvia	2:1 penalties ✺
29.04.26	Tokyo Verdy - Kashima Antlers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWWL
- FC Tokyo
Japan J1 League
16.05.26	Urawa Red Diamonds - Tokyo	0:1 penalties ✺
10.05.26	Tokyo - Tokyo Verdy	2:1 ✺
06.05.26	Tokyo - JEF United Chiba	0:3 ✺
02.05.26	Tokyo - Kawasaki Frontale	2:0 ✺
29.04.26	Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
06.02.26	Tokyo - Kashima Antlers	2:1 penalties
10.08.25	Tokyo - Kashima Antlers	0:1
01.03.25	Kashima Antlers - Tokyo	2:0
20.07.24	Kashima Antlers - Tokyo	2:1
07.04.24	Tokyo - Kashima Antlers	2:0
16.07.23	Tokyo - Kashima Antlers	1:3
20.05.23	Kashima Antlers - Tokyo	1:1

Kashima Antlers - Tokyo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide