Match Info

J3 League - Round 37

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: City Football Station (Tochigi)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Tochigi City		Nagano Parceiro

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.45	6.7	Watch
	1.40	4.51	7.10	Watch
	1.37	4.25	7.31	Watch
	1.3	5.2	9.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.4)	4.6 ↑ (4.51)	7.65 ↑ (7.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tochigi City
67.9%

Draw
20%

Nagano Parceiro
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

20.6%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

19.8%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tochigi City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Nagano Parceiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tochigi City than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagano Parceiro than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Tochigi City - Nagano Parceiro Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Aizawa P. (G) 5. Okui R. 42. Jonjic M. 28. Konishi K. 33. Inui T. 10. Okaniwa Y. 16. Kato J. 8. Mori T. 39. Vasquez B. 90. Utaka P. 77. Tanaka P. J.	21. Matsubara S. (G) 2. Sakai S. 7. Ono Y. 3. Tomita K. 33. Ando K. 46. Koga S. 5. Hasegawa Y. 25. Tanaka K. 8. Kondo T. 28. Fujikawa K. 11. Shin K.
Substitutes
1. Harada Y. (G) 3. Masuda S. 11. Omotehara G. 13. Oshima T. 79. Saito K. 22. Suzuki H. 7. Suzuki R. 9. Tokura K. 23. Yoshida A.	4. Gyotoku E. 15. Higuchi K. 20. Kano H. 17. Kutsuna K. 35. Lee S. 23. Lim Ji-hoon 24. Sunamori K. 1. Tajiri K. (G) 10. Yamanaka R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Shin K. 🟨,
14', Vasquez B. ↓, Yoshida A. ↑,
33', Inui T. ↓, Suzuki H. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
48', Kato Jo 🟨,
55', Kondo T. ↓, Yamanaka R. ↑,
56', 1 - 0, Jonjic M. ⚽, Okaniwa Y. (A),
58', 2 - 0, Suzuki H. ⚽, Mori T. (A),
59', Shin K. 🟨,
64', Fujikawa K. ↓, Kano H. ↑,
64', Hasegawa Y. ↓, Lim Ji-hoon ↑,
64', Sakai S. ↓, Gyotoku E. ↑,
81', Mori T. ↓, Omotehara G. ↑,
81', Oshima T. ↓, Kato Jo ↑,
83', Ando K. ↓, Kutsuna K. ↑,
84', Omotehara G. 🟨,
90+3', 3 - 0, Yoshida A. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League and 18).

Tochigi City has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nagano's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Nagano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Tochigi City is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tochigi City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tochigi City FC
Japan J3 League
15.11.25	Gifu - Tochigi City	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Tochigi City - Kamatamare Sanuki	3:1 ✺
03.11.25	Ryūkyū - Tochigi City	2:2 ✺
25.10.25	Tochigi City - Vanraure Hachinohe	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Tochigi City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWTWT
- AC Nagano Parceiro
Japan J3 League
15.11.25	Nagano Parceiro - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	0:1 ✺
10.11.25	Osaka - Nagano Parceiro	3:0 ✺
02.11.25	Nagano Parceiro - Kochi United	0:1 ✺
25.10.25	Nagano Parceiro - Azul Claro Numazu	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Nara Club - Nagano Parceiro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
08.03.25	Nagano Parceiro - Tochigi City	1:2

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