Match Info

J2 League - Round 30

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Pocarisweat Stadium (Naruto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Tokushima Vortis		Consadole Sapporo

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.25	3.5	Watch
	2.02	3.2	3.45
	2.19	3.36	3.64
	2.37	2.88	3.33	Watch
	2.1	3.25	3.5	Watch
	2.06	3.25	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.03)	3.2 ↓ (3.25)	3.49 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tokushima Vortis
43.9%

Draw
29.3%

Consadole Sapporo
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

28.2%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

27.6%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokushima Vortis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Consadole Sapporo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokushima Vortis than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Consadole Sapporo than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	22.2%	0%

Tokushima Vortis - Consadole Sapporo Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Tokushima will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tokushima: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tokushima (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Consadole Sapporo (2.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tokushima (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Consadole Sapporo (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tanaka H. (G) 15. Yamakoshi K. 33. Inoue S. 22. Yanagisawa K. 40. Nagaki R. 18. Elsinho 7. Kodama S. 10. Sugimoto T. 42. Takagi Y. 16. Watari D. (C) 30. Tsuboi K.	51. Takagi S. (G) 2. Takao R. 50. Urakami N. 47. Nishino S. 33. Kondo T. 31. Kido S. 6. Takamine T. (C) 3. Park Min-Gyu 11. Aoki R. 16. Hasegawa T. 71. Shirai H.
Substitutes
4. Kaique 28. Kanuma N. 99. Lucas Barcelos 29. Mitsui D. (G) 19. Miyazaki J. 55. Shigehiro T. 2. Tamukai T. 9. Thonny Anderson 44. Yamaguchi T.	35. Hara K. 15. Ieizumi R. 99. Izuma S. 4. Nakamura T. 25. Osaki L. 7. Sarachat S. 1. Sugeno T. (G) 30. Tanaka H. 14. Tanaka K.
Coaches
Masuda K.	Shibata S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Tsuboi K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Hasegawa T. ↓, Tanaka K. ↑,
46', Nishino S. ↓, Ieizumi R. ↑,
52', 0 - 1, Shirai H. ⚽, Takamine T. (A),
61', Watari D. ↓, Thonny Anderson ↑,
61', Tsuboi K. ↓, Miyazaki J. ↑,
66', 0 - 2, Kondo T. ⚽,
67', Takagi Y. ↓, Lucas Barcelos ↑,
68', 1 - 2, Lucas Barcelos ⚽, Thonny Anderson (A),
77', Aoki R. ↓, Sarachat S. ↑,
77', Kido S. ↓, Osaki L. ↑,
80', Sugimoto T. ↓, Shigehiro T. ↑,
80', Elsinho ↓, Yamaguchi T. ↑,
90', Shirai H. ↓, Izuma S. ↑,
90+7', Lucas Barcelos 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: ) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokushima won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Tokushima could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Tokushima won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Tokushima won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tokushima Vortis
Japan J2 League
15.09.25	Roasso Kumamoto - Tokushima Vortis	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	Tokushima Vortis - Blaublitz Akita	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Tokushima Vortis - Montedio Yamagata	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	JEF United Chiba - Tokushima Vortis	1:0 ✺
10.08.25	Vegalta Sendai - Tokushima Vortis	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTWLW
- Consadole Sapporo
Japan J2 League
13.09.25	Consadole Sapporo - Iwaki	1:5 ✺
30.08.25	Consadole Sapporo - Omiya Ardija	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Ventforet Kofu - Consadole Sapporo	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Consadole Sapporo - Blaublitz Akita	0:2 ✺
09.08.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Consadole Sapporo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
05.04.25	Consadole Sapporo - Tokushima Vortis	1:0
Japan J1 League
04.07.21	Consadole Sapporo - Tokushima Vortis	1:0
09.05.21	Tokushima Vortis - Consadole Sapporo	1:2
Japan J2 League
06.11.16	Tokushima Vortis - Consadole Sapporo	2:1
29.04.16	Consadole Sapporo - Tokushima Vortis	1:0
07.11.15	Consadole Sapporo - Tokushima Vortis	2:0
24.05.15	Tokushima Vortis - Consadole Sapporo	1:2

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