The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
JEF United Chiba 40.8%
Draw 31%
Tokushima Vortis 28.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.6%
28.1%
27.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.1%
27.2%
26.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
JEF United Chiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
Tokushima Vortis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for JEF United Chiba than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for JEF United Chiba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokushima Vortis than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
58.3%
16.7%
25%
JEF United Chiba - Tokushima Vortis Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. JEF United will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Tokushima will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for JEF United: 30.4% โ 86.2%.
35. Wakahara T. (G) 2. Takahashi I. 13. Suzuki D. 28. Kawano T. 67. Hidaka M. 18. Sugiyama N. 4. Taguchi T. 6. Eduardo 42. Issaka Z. 20. Ishikawa D. 29. Carlinhos
1. Tanaka H. (G) 15. Yamakoshi K. 3. Yamada N. 5. Aoki H. 18. Elsinho 28. Kanuma N. 7. Kodama S. 42. Takagi Y. 99. Lucas Barcelos 16. Watari D. 9. Thonny Anderson
Substitutes
9. Goya H. 37. Himeno M. 15. Mae T. 44. Shinada M. 23. Suzuki R. (G) 24. Toriumi K. 14. Tsubaki N. 10. Yokoyama A. 11. Yonekura K.
14. Hyon R. 33. Inoue S. 8. Iwao K. 27. Izuchukwu L. 29. Mitsui D. (G) 19. Miyazaki J. 97. Moyo M. 13. Nishino T. 22. Yanagisawa K.
Coaches
Kobayashi Y.
Masuda K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Yamakoshi K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Watari D. ↓, Izuchukwu L. ↑,
66', Sugiyama N. ↓, Himeno M. ↑,
69', 1 - 0, Carlinhos ⚽, Takahashi I. (A),
77', Takagi Y. ↓, Miyazaki J. ↑,
78', Kodama S. ↓, Iwao K. ↑,
78', Elsinho ↓, Yanagisawa K. ↑,
81', Taguchi T. ↓, Shinada M. ↑,
81', Carlinhos ↓, Goya H. ↑,
85', Lucas Barcelos ↓, Hyon R. ↑,
89', Himeno M. 🟨,
90+2', Hidaka M. ↓, Toriumi K. ↑,
90+2', Issaka Z. ↓, Mae T. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JEF United won 3.
JEF United is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Tokushima is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Recently, JEF United has had a series of home games.
JEF United could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, JEF United won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:21. (average 1.2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, JEF United won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 1.3:0.6).
Japan
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Wakahara T. (G) 
Eduardo 
Izuchukwu L. 
