The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tokushima Vortis 39.8%
Draw 29.9%
Montedio Yamagata 30.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.5%
27.6%
24.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.1%
29.1%
23.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tokushima Vortis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tokushima Vortis's form might have worsened.
Montedio Yamagata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Montedio Yamagata's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokushima Vortis than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tokushima Vortis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montedio Yamagata than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Montedio Yamagata, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
20%
60%
Tokushima Vortis - Montedio Yamagata Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Tokushima will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Montedio Yamagata will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tanaka H. (G) 2. Tamukai T. 33. Inoue S. 5. Aoki H. 22. Yanagisawa K. 7. Kodama S. 28. Kanuma N. 42. Takagi Y. 55. Shigehiro T. 10. Sugimoto T. 16. Watari D.
1. Heward-Belle T. (G) 15. Kawai A. 22. Shirowa H. 5. Abe T. 13. Nodake H. 71. Nakamura R. 21. Tanaka W. 88. Doi S. 10. Kida R. 90. Disaro A. S. 14. Sakamoto K.
Substitutes
27. Izuchukwu L. 4. Kaique 29. Mitsui D. (G) 97. Moyo M. 40. Nagaki R. 13. Nishino T. 24. Takada S. 9. Thonny Anderson 25. Yamashita Y.
55. Horikane S. 25. Kokubu S. 18. Minami S. 19. Okamoto K. 23. Omori S. 45. Shibuya T. (G) 9. Takahashi J. 17. Terayama T. 20. Yoshio Kaina
Coaches
Masuda K.
Yokouchi A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Shirowa H. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Takagi Y. ⚽, Watari D. (A),
34', Kanuma N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Doi S. ↓, Takahashi J. ↑,
61', Tamukai T. ↓, Kaique ↑,
61', Shigehiro T. ↓, Nagaki R. ↑,
63', Tanaka W. ↓, Terayama T. ↑,
63', Sakamoto K. ↓, Kokubu S. ↑,
70', Watari D. ↓, Thonny Anderson ↑,
77', Disaro A. S. ↓, Horikane S. ↑,
80', Sugimoto T. ↓, Izuchukwu L. ↑,
80', Takagi Y. ↓, Takada S. ↑,
81', Thonny Anderson 🟨,
88', Kida R. ↓, Yoshio Kaina ↑,
90+3', Nodake H. 🟨,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: ) and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokushima won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Recently, Tokushima has had a series of away games.
Recently, Montedio Yamagata has had a series of home games.
Tokushima will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Tokushima won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:23. (average 1.5:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Tokushima won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).
Japan
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Tanaka H. (G) 
Heward-Belle T. (G) 
Izuchukwu L. 
Kaique 
