Match Info

Date: 30 May 2021, Sunday


	Tokushima Vortis		Shonan Bellmare

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	3.4	Watch
	2.15	2.95	3.4
	2.25	3.1	3.25	Watch
	2.3	2.95	3.25
	2.42	3.14	3.39
	2.25	3	3.3	Watch
	2.32	3.1	3.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.21)	3.06 ↓ (3.17)	3.34 ↓ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tokushima Vortis
41.3%

Draw
30.6%

Shonan Bellmare
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

29.5%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

21.9%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokushima Vortis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Shonan Bellmare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokushima Vortis than the current prediction. (+15.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tokushima Vortis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shonan Bellmare, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tokushima Vortis - Shonan Bellmare Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 14).

Tokushima has the most likely position - 15 (13.4%), has project points - 41, has currently - 18, has a very small chance of qualify for acl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Shonan Bellmare has the most likely position - 16 (14.01%), has project points - 40, has currently - 16, has a very small chance of qualify for acl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Tokushima is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Shonan Bellmare is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Shonan Bellmare could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Tokushima will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Tokushima won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Tokushima won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tokushima Vortis
Japan J1 League
27.05.21	Gamba Osaka - Tokushima Vortis	2:1 ✺
22.05.21	Tokushima Vortis - Nagoya Grampus	0:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
19.05.21	Tokushima Vortis - Vissel Kobe	0:3 ✺
Japan J1 League
15.05.21	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Tokushima Vortis	0:1 ✺
09.05.21	Tokushima Vortis - Consadole Sapporo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LTLWL
- Shonan Bellmare
Japan J1 League
26.05.21	Shonan Bellmare - Kawasaki Frontale	1:1 ✺
22.05.21	Avispa Fukuoka - Shonan Bellmare	2:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
19.05.21	Shonan Bellmare - Kashiwa Reysol	1:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
15.05.21	Yokohama FC - Shonan Bellmare	2:0 ✺
09.05.21	Shonan Bellmare - Oita Trinita	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
13.12.19	Shonan Bellmare - Tokushima Vortis	1:1
Japan J2 League
29.07.17	Shonan Bellmare - Tokushima Vortis	2:0
10.06.17	Tokushima Vortis - Shonan Bellmare	0:1
Japan Emperors Cup
22.09.16	Shonan Bellmare - Tokushima Vortis	4:0

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