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Current Win Probability
Gamba Osaka 62.1%
Draw 22.2%
Tokushima Vortis 15.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
59.3%
22.8%
18%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.1%
21.9%
18.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
Tokushima Vortis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokushima Vortis than the current prediction. (+3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
16.7%
0%
Gamba Osaka - Tokushima Vortis Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Gamba Osaka will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Higashiguchi M. (G) 13. Abe S. 23. Hummet D. 19. Ikegaya G. 10. Kurata S. 47. Nakano S. 4. Nakatani S. 67. Sasaki S. 16. Suzuki T. 7. Usami T. 17. Yamashita R.
31. Hasegawa T. (G) 4. Kaique 14. Kajiya Y. 6. Kanuma N. 19. Miyazaki J. 97. Moyo M. 55. Shigehiro T. 10. Sugimoto T. 24. Takada S. 23. Takada Y. 44. Yamaguchi T.
Substitutes
2. Fukuoka S. 21. Hatsuse R. 22. Ichimori J. (G) 11. Jebali I. 8. Meshino R. 27. Mito R. 37. Nakatsumi N. 35. Tono T. 32. Yoshihara Y.
69. Fukuta M. 17. Inami T. 27. Izuchukwu L. 7. Kodama S. 29. Mitsui D. (G) 28. Nishisaka T. 9. Thonny Anderson 16. Watari D. 3. Yamada N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Usami T. ⚽,
40', Takada S. ↓, Nishisaka T. ↑,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
53', Sugimoto T. 🟨,
56', Takada Y. ↓, Yamada N. ↑,
57', 2 - 0, Yamashita R. ⚽,
58', Yamashita R. 🟨,
64', 3 - 0, Hummet D. ⚽,
69', Yamashita R. ↓, Nakatsumi N. ↑,
69', Kurata S. ↓, Meshino R. ↑,
76', Kaique ↓, Thonny Anderson ↑,
76', Shigehiro T. ↓, Kodama S. ↑,
76', Miyazaki J. ↓, Inami T. ↑,
84', Usami T. ↓, Tono T. ↑,
84', Nakano S. ↓, Hatsuse R. ↑,
86', 4 - 0, Ikegaya G. ⚽,
87', Suzuki T. ↓, Yoshihara Y. ↑,
89', 5 - 0, Meshino R. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 3.
Recent results have been tough for Gamba Osaka (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Tokushima have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Tokushima could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bookmakers give the edge to Gamba Osaka for this game.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Gamba Osaka has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 13:4 (averaging 2.2:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Gamba Osaka against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 7:1 goals (averaging 2.3:0.3 per game).
Japan
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Higashiguchi M. (G) 
Hummet D. 
Kaique 
Jebali I. 
Izuchukwu L. 
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