Match Info

JAPAN: J2 LEAGUE - ROUND 18

Date: 28 May 2023, Sunday

Location: Ajinomoto Stadium (Tokyo)

Referee: Enomoto K. (Jpn)


	Tokyo Verdy		Iwaki

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	4.33	Watch
	1.83	3.1	3.9
	1.82	3.3	4.5
	1.89	3.48	4.55
	1.83	3.2	4
	1.84	3.52	4.35	Watch
	1.8	3.35	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.94)	3.34 ↑ (3.3)	4.29 ↑ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tokyo Verdy
50.5%

Draw
27.8%

Iwaki
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

28.1%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

27.7%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Iwaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iwaki than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Tokyo Verdy - Iwaki Predictions

Users Predictions: Tokyo Verdy will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vidotto M. (G) 6. Miyahara K. 16. Yamakoshi K. 2. Fukazawa D. 26. Kato R. 18. Vasquez B. 7. Morita K. 25. Inami T. 20. Kitajima Y. 27. Yamada G. 29. Kawamura K.	31. Shikano S. (G) 6. Miyamoto E. 4. Ieizumi R. 3. Endo R. 16. Kawamura T. 8. Saga R. 24. Yamashita Y. 25. Haga A. 14. Yamaguchi D. 9. Kondo K. 11. Arita R.
Substitutes
15. Chida K. 14. Engels M. 41. Iida M. (G) 17. Kato K. 24. Narawa Y. 30. Sagawa K. 11. Sakano T.	35. Egawa G. 5. Hayami S. 15. Kase N. 1. Tanaka K. (G) 17. Tanimura K. 29. Tsujioka Y. 18. Yoshizawa S.
Coaches
Jofuku H.	Suguri H.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League and 20).

Tokyo Verdy is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Iwaki is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Iwaki could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Tokyo Verdy is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tokyo Verdy
Japan J2 League
21.05.23	Renofa Yamaguchi - Tokyo Verdy	0:2 ✺
17.05.23	Tochigi - Tokyo Verdy	0:2 ✺
13.05.23	Tokyo Verdy - Machida Zelvia	0:1 ✺
07.05.23	V-Varen Nagasaki - Tokyo Verdy	1:2 ✺
03.05.23	Tokyo Verdy - Júbilo Iwata	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLWT
- Iwaki FC
Japan J2 League
21.05.23	Júbilo Iwata - Iwaki	1:1 ✺
17.05.23	Iwaki - Omiya Ardija	2:1 ✺
14.05.23	Iwaki - Blaublitz Akita	0:1 ✺
07.05.23	Shimizu S-Pulse - Iwaki	9:1 ✺
03.05.23	Ventforet Kofu - Iwaki	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWLLL

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