Match Info

JAPAN: J2 LEAGUE - ROUND 17

Date: 21 May 2023, Sunday

Location: Ishin Me-Life Stadium (Yamaguchi)

Referee: Sutani Y. (Jpn)


	Renofa Yamaguchi		Tokyo Verdy

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.4	1.95	Watch
	3.7	3.2	1.85
	4.1	3.45	1.82
	4.02	3.49	2.01
	3.7	3.1	1.95
	4.1	3.32	1.95	Watch
	3.9	3.3	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.96 ↑ (3.68)	3.32 ↑ (3.21)	1.92 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Renofa Yamaguchi
23.5%

Draw
28%

Tokyo Verdy
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

28.8%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

28.7%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Renofa Yamaguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renofa Yamaguchi than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Renofa Yamaguchi - Tokyo Verdy Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Renofa Yamaguchi will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tokyo Verdy: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Renofa Yamaguchi won 1.

Renofa Yamaguchi is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Tokyo Verdy is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Tokyo Verdy is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Renofa Yamaguchi won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 22-31.

Including matches at home between the teams Renofa Yamaguchi won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Renofa Yamaguchi
Japan J2 League
17.05.23	Machida Zelvia - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:0 ✺
13.05.23	Renofa Yamaguchi - Tokushima Vortis	2:2 ✺
07.05.23	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:1 ✺
03.05.23	Renofa Yamaguchi - JEF United Chiba	1:1 ✺
29.04.23	Montedio Yamagata - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 43.5 LTLTT
- Tokyo Verdy
Japan J2 League
17.05.23	Tochigi - Tokyo Verdy	0:2 ✺
13.05.23	Tokyo Verdy - Machida Zelvia	0:1 ✺
07.05.23	V-Varen Nagasaki - Tokyo Verdy	1:2 ✺
03.05.23	Tokyo Verdy - Júbilo Iwata	0:0 ✺
29.04.23	Mito HollyHock - Tokyo Verdy	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
18.06.22	Tokyo Verdy - Renofa Yamaguchi	3:0
17.04.22	Renofa Yamaguchi - Tokyo Verdy	3:1
03.10.21	Renofa Yamaguchi - Tokyo Verdy	1:2
10.04.21	Tokyo Verdy - Renofa Yamaguchi	3:1
22.11.20	Tokyo Verdy - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:1
19.09.20	Renofa Yamaguchi - Tokyo Verdy	2:1
08.09.19	Tokyo Verdy - Renofa Yamaguchi	4:0

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