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Current Win Probability
Machida Zelvia 49.8%
Draw 30.6%
Tokyo Verdy 19.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50%
29.4%
20.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.9%
28.9%
20.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Tokyo Verdy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
84.6%
15.4%
0%
Machida Zelvia - Tokyo Verdy Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Machida Zelvia will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%). Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tani K. (G) 3. Shoji G. (C) 50. Okamura D. 5. Dresevic I. 88. Nakamura H. 23. Shirasaki R. 16. Mae H. 34. Tokumura F. 27. Erik 10. Na Sang-Ho 99. Yengi T.
1. Matheus (G) 15. Suzuki K. 4. Hayashi N. 6. Miyahara K. 22. Uchida Y. 8. Saito K. 10. Morita K. (C) 23. Fukazawa D. 7. Matsuhashi Y. 25. Kumatoriya I. 9. Someno I.
Substitutes
9. Fujio S. 26. Hayashi K. 24. Kim Min-Tae 49. Kuwayama K. 11. Masuyama A. 13. Morita T. (G) 19. Nakayama Y. 8. Sento K. 18. Shimoda H.
40. Arai Y. 14. Fukuda Y. 16. Hirakawa R. 17. Inami T. 5. Inoue R. 21. Nagasawa Y. (G) 24. Nakayama S. 29. Sako M. 45. Teranuma S.
Coaches
Kuroda G.
Hiroshi J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kumatoriya I. ↓, Fukuda Y. ↑,
63', Uchida Y. 🟨,
66', Matsuhashi Y. ↓, Arai Y. ↑,
76', Yengi T. ↓, Fujio S. ↑,
76', Erik ↓, Sento K. ↑,
77', Uchida Y. ↓, Inoue R. ↑,
86', Shirasaki R. ↓, Shimoda H. ↑,
86', Tokumura F. ↓, Nakayama Y. ↑,
90', Morita K. ↓, Hirakawa R. ↑,
90', Saito K. ↓, Inami T. ↑,
Penalties (4 - 2)
1, Na Sang-Ho (Penalty Awarded),
1, Someno I. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Nakayama Y. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Fukuda Y. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Dresevic I. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Arai Y. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Shimoda H. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Inami T. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Recently, Machida Zelvia has had a series of away games.
In this match, Machida Zelvia is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Kikuchi R.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Yamami H.
(Knee Injury)
Yoshida T.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:24. (average 1.6:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Machida Zelvia won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.8:1.3).
Brazil
China
Japan
World
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Tani K. (G) 
Dresevic I. 
Erik 
Na Sang-Ho 
Yengi T. 
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