Match Info

J1 League - Round 31

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Noevir Stadium (Kobe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Brazil	Canal GOAT
China	K-Ball
Hong-kong	myTV SUPER
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Vissel Kobe		Tokyo Verdy

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.3	5.75	Watch
	1.65	3.3	5.5	Watch
	1.71	3.54	6.18
	1.67	3.41	5.83	Watch
	1.71	3.48	5.69	Watch
	1.64	3.58	4.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.64)	3.44 ↓ (3.58)	5.62 ↑ (4.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vissel Kobe
56.1%

Draw
27.2%

Tokyo Verdy
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

25.4%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

23.9%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vissel Kobe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Tokyo Verdy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	15.4%	7.7%

Vissel Kobe - Tokyo Verdy Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Vissel Kobe will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vissel Kobe: 54% – 99.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vissel Kobe will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maekawa D. (G) 24. Sakai G. 4. Yamakawa T. 15. Honda Y. 41. Nagato K. 6. Ogihara T. 25. Kuwasaki Y. 18. Ide H. 27. Erik 10. Osako Y. 9. Miyashiro T.	1. Matheus Vidotto (G) 6. Miyahara K. 2. Fukazawa D. 3. Taniguchi H. 19. Matsuhashi Y. 16. Hirakawa R. 7. Morita K. 26. Uchida Y. 71. Hirao H. 14. Fukuda Y. 45. Teranuma S.
Substitutes
77. Gustavo Klismahn 2. Iino N. 31. Iwanami T. 26. Jean Patric 29. Komatsu R. 11. Muto Y. 50. Obi P. O. (G) 30. Yamauchi K. 14. Yuruki K.	40. Arai Y. 17. Inami T. 25. Kumatoriya I. 20. Meshino S. 21. Nagasawa Y. (G) 39. Nakayama S. 8. Saito K. 9. Someno I. 15. Suzuki K.
Coaches
Yoshida T.	Hiroshi J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Osako Y. ⚽,
23', Erik (Pen),
28', Kuwasaki Y. 🟨,
31', Taniguchi H. 🟨,
38', 2 - 0, Miyashiro T. ⚽, Ide H. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Teranuma S. ↓, Someno I. ↑,
46', Matsuhashi Y. ↓, Arai Y. ↑,
51', Uchida Y. 🟨,
55', 3 - 0, Erik ⚽, Ogihara T. (A),
57', Hirakawa R. ↓, Saito K. ↑,
63', Fukuda Y. 🟨,
67', 4 - 0, Miyashiro T. ⚽, Erik (A),
68', Hirao H. ↓, Kumatoriya I. ↑,
70', Ide H. ↓, Muto Y. ↑,
70', Kuwasaki Y. ↓, Gustavo Klismahn ↑,
77', Miyashiro T. ↓, Yuruki K. ↑,
77', Osako Y. ↓, Komatsu R. ↑,
81', Morita K. ↓, Meshino S. ↑,
87', Erik ↓, Iino N. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 16).

Vissel Kobe is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tokyo Verdy is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Vissel Kobe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Vissel Kobe is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Vissel Kobe: Hamasaki K. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Hirakawa R. (Yellow Cards) Yamada G. (Knee Injury) Yamami H. (Knee Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Vissel Kobe won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Vissel Kobe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Vissel Kobe - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 55.5%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vissel Kobe
AFC Champions League
17.09.25	Shanghai Port - Vissel Kobe	0:3 ✺
Japan J1 League
12.09.25	Vissel Kobe - Kashiwa Reysol	0:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
07.09.25	Vissel Kobe - Yokohama FC	1:0 ✺
03.09.25	Yokohama FC - Vissel Kobe	2:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
30.08.25	Vissel Kobe - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTWLW
- Tokyo Verdy
Japan J1 League
20.09.25	Tokyo Verdy - Fagiano Okayama	4:2 ✺
15.09.25	Tokyo - Tokyo Verdy	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Yokohama FC - Tokyo Verdy	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Tokyo Verdy - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:3 ✺
16.08.25	Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo Verdy	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
12.04.25	Tokyo Verdy - Vissel Kobe	0:1
10.11.24	Tokyo Verdy - Vissel Kobe	1:1
26.05.24	Vissel Kobe - Tokyo Verdy	0:1
Japan J2 League
21.08.13	Vissel Kobe - Tokyo Verdy	2:1

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